Blue Jays vs Twins & Dodgers vs Reds: MLB Picks Aug 25

Sports and Betting, News and Insights, Featured by Donde, Baseball
Aug 26, 2025 11:05 UTC
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the official logos of toronto blue jays and minnesota twins

Mark your calendars Tuesday, August 26th, 2025, because MLB action returns as the Mets host the Phillies at Citi Field and the Athletics face off with the Royals in Oakland. The Mets are looking to reclaim first place in the NL East, while the Phillies and the Royals both look to gain ground in their divisions. Earlier on Monday, the Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the Reds at Dodger Stadium, and the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Minnesota Twins at the Rogers Centre.

Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 

  • Date: Monday, August 25th, 2025 
  • Time: 11:07 PM (UTC) 
  • Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Current Betting Predictions:

Toronto is the clear favorite in this encounter.

  • Win Probability:

    • Blue Jays: 56%

    • Twins: 44%

  • Predicted Scoreline: Blue Jays 5 – Twins 4
  • Total Runs Prediction: Over 7.5

Sportsbooks project this to be a tight contest, with Toronto having the edge due to stronger batting consistency and home advantage.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays are having a strong season, with an overall record of 76-55. They sit atop the AL East standings and are determined to maintain momentum as the playoff race heats up.

  • Form: 6 wins in their last 10 games.

  • Home Record: 42-21 at Rogers Centre.

  • Scoring: Averaging just under 4.9 score per game places them among the best offensive teams in the league.

  • Pitching: This team has a solid strikeout track record, along with a team ERA of 4.21, showcasing their consistency in pitching.

Key Blue Jays Players

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – Batting .298 with 21 home runs and 30 doubles, Guerrero remains Toronto’s offensive anchor.

  • Bo Bichette is hitting .304 with 83 RBIs, leading the team in run production, and currently riding a nine-game hitting streak. 

  • Bo Bichette is batting .304 with 83 RBIs, leading the team in run production and enjoying a nine-game hitting streak. 

  • George Springer is a power hitter with 22 home runs this season. 

  • Max Scherzer (Starting Pitcher) has a 4-2 record and a 3.60 ERA, making him one of the most experienced pitchers in the MLB. Scherzer has allowed two runs or fewer in four straight starts.

  • Toronto has shown they can bounce back from losses quickly, winning nine of their last 10 home games following a defeat. With their strong offensive balance and Scherzer on the mound, the Blue Jays have every reason to be confident.

Minnesota Twins Team Overview

Right now, the Minnesota Twins are facing a challenging time with a record of 59-71 and only two victories in their last ten outings. Their playoff aspirations seem dim, but don’t count them out just yet; they still have the ability to surprise everyone as underdogs.

  • Form: 2-8 in their last 10 games.

  • Road Record: 26-40, one of the weakest in MLB.

  • Scoring average: 4.16 runs per game, but surrendering more than 4.5.

  • The team's pitching has a 4.35 ERA and struggles to limit opponents' power.

Key Twins Players

  • Byron Buxton leads the team with a .270 average, 25 home runs, and 62 RBIs.

  • Trevor Larnach – Contributing 16 home runs and 51 RBI, but inconsistent at the plate.

  • Ryan Jeffers – Solid. 261 average with 23 doubles and nine homers.

  • Joe Ryan (Starting Pitcher) – 12-6 record, 2.77 ERA, and one of the league’s most effective strikeout pitchers. He ranks in the top 10 in strikeout rate and is particularly dominant against right-handed hitters.

While Ryan has been a bright spot, the Twins’ bullpen struggles and lack of offensive depth have been costly.

Head-to-Head: Blue Jays vs. Twins

The teams last met on June 8, where the Twins pulled off a 6-3 upset victory over Toronto.

  • Blue Jays: 76 wins this season (14 at home).

  • Twins: 59 wins (18 on the road).

  • Average Runs: Toronto – 4.57 per game | Minnesota – 4.50 per game.

Toronto holds the edge in overall consistency and depth, but Minnesota has shown they can exploit weaknesses in the Blue Jays’ bullpen.

Key Matchup: Max Scherzer vs. Joe Ryan

This throwing duel could determine the outcome.

Max Scherzer (Blue Jays) is known for his strike-zone command (58% of pitches in the zone over the last two outings).

  • This season, opponents batted just .239 against him.

  • Struggles slightly against left-handed batters, with only an 11% strikeout rate in his last two outings.

Joe Ryan (Twins)

  • Elite strikeout percentage (28%).

  • Right-handed batters hitting only .180 against him.

  • Has shown composure in high-leverage moments, recording five or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 games.

Advantage: Scherzer has the advantage due to his experience and home field advantage, but Ryan's precision makes for an interesting fight.

Keys to the Game

Why the Blue Jays Could Win

  • Best record in MLB when scoring 5+ runs (56-3).

  • Home dominance with an 8-42 run-line cover record after trailing in late innings.

  • Bichette’s red-hot hitting streak.

  • Scherzer’s ability to dominate AL Central opponents.

Why the Twins Could Win

  • Joe Ryan’s elite pitching form.

  • Byron Buxton’s power hitting could exploit Scherzer’s weakness against left-handed batters.

  • Recent history of upsetting Toronto earlier this season.

Betting Trends & Insights

Toronto Blue Jays

  • 4-3 as favorites in their last seven.

  • 6 of the last 10 games hit the OVER on total runs.

  • 5-5 against the spread in the last 10.

Minnesota Twins

  • 1-3 as underdogs in their last four.

  • 5 of the last 10 games hit the OVER.

  • Only 3-7 ATS in their last 10.

  • Best Bet: Blue Jays ML (-150). With home advantage, offensive depth, and Scherzer on the mound, Toronto should edge out a close game.

Over/Under Analysis

  • The Blue Jays have gone OVER in 4 straight against AL teams.

  • Twins’ night games as underdogs often trend UNDER.

However, given Minnesota’s weak pitching and Toronto’s hot bats, over 7.5 runs looks like a smart bet.

Expert Prediction

  • Final Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5 – Twins 4

  • Pick: Toronto Blue Jays ML

  • Run Total Pick: Over 7.5 runs

Current Odds from Stake.com

betting odds from stake.com for the match between toronto blue jays and minnesota twins

Final Thoughts on the Match

All eyes will be focused on the Toronto Blue Jays competing against the Minnesota Twins on Aug 25. As both teams put Max Scherzer and Joe Ryan on the mound, a riveting pitching battle will unfold. Given that the matchup batting-wise greatly favors the Blue Jays and the game is at their home stadium, the Blue Jays are favored. That said, noticing that the Twins have a shot at a major upset is important too.

In terms of betting, Blue Jays ML and over 7.5 runs are the most appealing.

Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds

  • Date & Time: Tuesday, August 26th, 2025 – 2:10 AM (UTC)

  • Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles

The Dodgers and Reds square off in a marquee National League clash late Monday night at Dodger Stadium. With Los Angeles fighting to stay ahead in the NL West and Cincinnati battling in the Wild Card race, this matchup has serious playoff implications.

Dodgers vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Reds 4

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 54%, Reds 46%

Betting Insights

Dodgers Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers have been favored 114 times this season, winning 66 (57.9%).

  • When listed as at least -141 favorites, Los Angeles is 53-38.

  • The Dodgers are 5-4 in their last nine games as favorites.

  • The total has gone over in four of their last 10 games.

Reds Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati has been underdogs in 70 games this year, winning 36 (51.4%).

  • As +118 (or worse) underdogs, the Reds are 14-18.

  • The Reds are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games, showing profitability against the spread.

  • Five of their last 10 games have gone over the total.

Current Odds from Stake.com

the betting odds from stake.com for the match between new york mets and philadelphia phillies

Key Players to Watch

Dodgers

  • Shohei Ohtani – .280 AVG, 45 HR (2nd in MLB), 84 RBI.

  • Freddie Freeman – Team-best . 305 AVG, 32 doubles, 72 RBI.

  • Andy Pages – .271 AVG, 21 HR, steady production in the middle of the order.

Reds

  • Elly De La Cruz – .275 AVG, 19 HR, 77 RBI, team-best hitting streak (10 straight games with a hit vs. NL West).

  • TJ Friedl – .264 AVG, 18 doubles, 61 walks, strong on-base skills.

  • Spencer Steer – .236 AVG, 16 HR, 59 RBI.

Pitching Matchup

Reds: Hunter Greene (5-3, 2.63 ERA)

  • 91 strikeouts in 13 starts this season.

  • Last outing: 6.1 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 12 K vs. Angels.

  • Strengths: 32% strikeout rate (Top 5 in MLB), hasn’t walked a batter in his last two starts.

  • Weakness: Occasionally prone to home runs vs. power-hitting teams.

Dodgers: Emmet Sheehan (4-2, 4.17 ERA)

  • 44 strikeouts across 9 appearances.

  • Last outing: 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K vs. Rockies.

  • Strengths: Strong first-pitch strike rate (76%).

  • Weakness: Struggles with command (42% strike zone rate in last start).

Advanced Trends & Keys to the Game

Reds

  • Just 3-46 when trailing entering the 7th inning this season (4th worst in MLB).

  • Hit just .226 vs. lefties (5th lowest in MLB).

  • Greene has struck out 7+ in 5 straight starts vs. NL West teams.

Dodgers

  • 36-11 when scoring in the first inning this year.

  • MLB-best . 781 OPS vs. left-handed pitching since last season.

  • Strong bullpen efficiency (100 holds, 63% save rate).

Head-to-Head History

  • The Dodgers lead the all-time series with 124 wins, including 78 at Dodger Stadium.

  • Reds have claimed 103 victories, with 59 on the road.

  • Last meeting: July 31, 2025—Reds beat Dodgers 5-2.

  • Average scoring: Dodgers 4.76 runs per game vs. Reds’ 4.07.

Expert Picks & Best Bets

  • Lean Dodgers (-145) – home field advantage & deeper lineup.

  • Spread: Cincinnati Reds +1.5 looks like the sharp play given Hunter Greene’s dominance.

  • Total: Over 8 runs—both starters can be homer-prone, and bullpens are shaky post-All-Star break.

Final Prediction

This one should be tight, but Hunter Greene gives the Reds value as underdogs. Still, with Shohei Ohtani swinging a hot bat and Freddie Freeman anchoring the lineup, the Dodgers’ depth and home advantage should prevail.

  • Pick: Dodgers 5, Reds 4 (Over 8 Runs)

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