The MLB will present the twi-night double feature of the NL East on Monday, August 25th, 2025, with each team vying for maximum exposure: Miami Marlins go on the offense against the Atlanta Braves at loanDepot Park, and Philadelphia Phillies are set to give the New York Mets a clash at Citi Field. Both teams carry enormous playoff implications: Atlanta would want to bounce back from a hard-fought road trip as Miami hangs on for the Wild Card berth; meanwhile, the Phillies would want to use the seven-game division lead to yank the NL East out of the Mets' grasp, who themselves are half-wild trying to cling to the last Wild Card. Power-hitting lineups, bullet arms, and spicy rivalries always create fireworks on the field for the fans.
Match Information: Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves
- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Monday, August 25th, 2025
- Time: 10:40 PM UTC
- Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami, Florida
- Competition: Major League Baseball – National League East
Betting Lines
- Implied Win Probability: Braves 55.8% | Marlins 48.8%
The betting markets prefer Atlanta slightly, even with their mixed results on the road, but Miami's recent offensive run makes them an enticing underdog.
Team Form & Recent Results
Atlanta Braves Recent Performance
Last 10 Games: 7-3
Runs Per Game: 5.5
Team ERA: 5.30
Key Stat: Atlanta is 2-2 as a favorite in their last four contests.
The Braves continue to score consistently but fail to contain opposing lineups with the exception of Spencer Strider, and now Austin Riley has been out, and their offense is shrinking.
Miami Marlins' Recent Performance
Last 10 Games: 3-7
Runs Per Game: 4.1
Team ERA: 4.40
Key Stat: The Marlins have been the underdog in 108 games this season and managed to win 47% of them.
The Marlins have struggled lately, but with Edward Cabrera's tough home pitching, there might be some value for an upset. Cabrera held opponents to a .236 batting average at home.
Pitching Matchup
Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves)
Record: 5-11
ERA: 5.24
Strikeouts: 102 in 89.1 IP
Recent Struggles: Gave up 20 earned runs in just 11.2 innings in the previous 3 starts.
Strider, who originally triggered Cy Young talk at the beginning of the season, has cratered in August. Strider is getting hit hard by opponents, and his control has really failed him. His road ERA is nearing 6.00, which makes him a dangerous play in this match-up.
Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins)
Record: 6-7
ERA: 3.52
Strikeouts: 126 in 117.2 IP
Home Performance: Opponents are batting only .229 at loanDepot Park.
Cabrera has been one of the more stable pitchers for Miami, despite his stellar home performance. Cabrera's ability to limit hard contact and efficient ground balls could pose a serious issue to the Braves lineup that depends on the long ball.
Key Players to Watch
Atlanta Braves
Matt Olson – Team RBI leader (72 RBI, 19 HR, .265 AVG). Still the primary offensive threat on a dwindling offensive unit.
Marcell Ozuna—20HR season, who remains dangerous even in a streaky season.
Ozzie Albies - Batting .229, Harlem is heating up with a .300 average in the last five games.
Miami Marlins
Xavier Edwards – Batting .289, leading the team in batting average.
Otto Lopez – 11 HRs, 17 doubles, consistent production in the middle of the order.
Agustin Ramirez – 18 HRs, emerging as an additional power bat for Miami.
Head-to-Head Results (2025 Season)
| Date | Winner | Score | Favorite | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10 | Braves 7-1 | Braves -130 | ATL | Covered |
| Aug 9 | Braves 8-6 | Braves -110 | ATL | Covered |
| Aug 9 | Braves 7-1 | Braves -115 | ATL | Covered |
| Aug 8 | Marlins 5-1 | Marlins -125 | MIA | Covered |
| Aug 7 | Braves 8-6 | Marlins -140 | ATL | Covered |
| June 22 | Marlins 5-3 | Braves -150 | MIA | Covered |
| June 21 | Braves 7-0 | Braves -165 | ATL | Covered |
| June 20 | Marlins 6-2 | Braves -160 | MIA | Covered |
| April 5 | Braves 4-0 | Braves -275 | ATL | Covered |
| April 4 | Braves 10-0 | Braves -250 | ATL | Covered |
The Atlanta Braves hold the season series over Miami but do have a few losses that took place when Cabrera or Alcantara were starting for Miami.
Game Analysis & Prediction
Reasons why the Atlanta Braves will win
Stronger lineup led by Olson, Ozuna, and Albies.
Are historically solid against Miami (7 wins in their last 10 games).
Miami has had a couple of bullpen scares late in the game.
Reasons why the Miami Marlins will win
Cabrera is having an outstanding season at home against Atlanta.
Spencer Strider produces a recent meltdown, and that may be of concern to Braves backers.
Marlin’s hitters (Edwards, Ramirez, and Lopez) have all quietly given a great production so far in the month of August.
Prediction
Scoreline: Marlins 5 – Braves 4
Total Runs: Over 8
Best Bet: Marlins ML (+105)
This game has upset potential all over it. Even though Strider went south in his last appearance, Cabrera is sharp at home against Atlanta. There is an edge with the Marlins and their underdog status.
Betting Best Bet
Marlins (+105) provides value at underdog prices.
Marlins +1.5 (-130) is also a safe option.
Going Over 8 (-110) in total runs is good here since both teams average 4+ runs per game.
Player's Prop: Matt Olson to have an RBI (one of the most consistent run producers for Atlanta).
Who Would Triumph the Match?
The Marlins vs. Braves on August 25, 2025, will be a close one in the NL East, where the underdog has a legit shot. Atlanta has the historical upper hand, but a great home advantage for Miami and Cabrera's consistency make the Marlins a good pick. Bettors should be looking for value in the Marlins or going over in total runs.
Match Information: Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
- Date: Monday, August 25th, 2025
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- First Pitch: 11:10 PM (UTC) | 7:10 PM (ET)
- Season Series: Mets lead 4-2
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Phillies are one of the more complete teams in baseball today with power hitting, clutch pitching, and good defense.
Current Form
Philadelphia is on fire, winning 6 of their last 7 games, including a series win over the Washington Nationals. They are 76-54 this season and lead the National League East by 7 games.
Last 10 Games: 7-3
Runs Scored: 6.1 per game
Homer Runs: 17
ERA: 3.89
Key Players to Watch
Kyle Schwarber: A major contributor to the Phillies, as he leads the team with 45 home runs and 109 RBIs, he is among the elite sluggers in MLB.
Trea Turner: Currently batting .300 with a good mix of hits and speed on the bases, he is riding a multi-game hitting streak.
Bryce Harper: Harry hit .263 with 21 HRs; he has caught fire recently, hitting .317 in the last 10 games.
Cristopher Sanchez (SP): The lefty has been very good with an 11-4 record and 2.46 ERA. In his last start, Sanchez struck out 12 Mariners in 6.1 innings.
Reasons Why the Phillies Could Win
Sanchez has allowed two or fewer earned runs in 3 of his last 4 starts.
The Phillies have gone 7-1 in the last 8 games after a previous day matchup.
The Phillies are deep in the bullpen and have good game experience with closer Jhoan Duran (23 saves) closing games out.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The Mets have been middle of the road with some ups and downs but almost always competitive, particularly in their home park. With a home record of 41-24, the Mets are among the best home teams in MLB.
Current Form
As good as they have been at home, recently finishing a series win of two of three from the 1st place Atlanta Braves, this shows they have some game still. The Mets currently sit at 69-61, 7 games back in the NL East but still holding the Wild Card slot.
Last 10 Games: 5-5
Runs per Game: 6.1
Home runs.
Key Players to Keep an Eye On
Juan Soto: Team leader with 32 HRs and 77 RBIs. Also, one of MLB's top 10 HR hitters.
Pete Alonso: Power hitter. He has 29 HRs and 103 RBIs, and his threat to produce runs is always present.
Francisco Lindor: He is hitting. 265 with 23 HRs, and has produced 26 BBI hits. He has been a consistent player at times under pressure.
Kodai Senga (SP): The Japanese ace is 7-5 with a 2.58 ERA and has dominated Philadelphia with limited appearances with a 1.46 career ERA in two starts.
Why the Mets Can Win
Home field advantage. Home games at Citi Field have been where the Mets have elevated their play compared to their road struggles.
Senga domination against Philadelphia with only 2 earned runs in 12.1 innings pitched.
A threatening lineup with Soto and Alonso leading, a very capable lineup to punish left-handers.
Phillies vs. Mets Head-to-Head
Recent contests between these two NL East rivals have been close, with the Mets going 4-2 against the Phillies this year.
| Date | Favorite | Total | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/22/25 | Phillies | 8.5 | Phillies 7-1 |
| 6/21/25 | Mets | 10.5 | Mets 11-4 |
| 6/20/25 | Phillies | 9 | Phillies 10-2 |
| 4/23/25 | Phillies | 7.5 | Mets 4-3 |
| 4/22/25 | Phillies | 8 | Mets 5-1 |
| 4/21/25 | Mets | 8 | Mets 5-4 |
The Mets have had the upper hand in close games overall between the two teams; however, Philadelphia has proved they have the ability to take a game and run with it when they hit.
Pitching Matchup: Cristopher Sanchez vs. Kodai Senga
Tonight's game features one of the most tantalizing pitching match-ups of the NL East season.
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI):
11-4, 2.46 ERA, 157 IP
WHIP: 1.10 | K/9: 9.7
Career vs Mets: 2-3, 3.89 ERA
Strength: Command and strikeout ability against lefty-heavy lineups.
Kodai Senga (NYM):
7-5, 2.58 ERA, 104.2 IP
WHIP: 1.25 | K/9: 8.5
Career vs Phillies: 1-1, 1.46 ERA in 2 starts
Strength: The ghost forkball is devastating against right-handed hitters.
This match-up may keep scoring down early, but both line-ups are capable of driving the game over 8 runs based on their offensive ability.
Betting Trends & Insights
Philadelphia Phillies
7-3 in the last 10 games.
Schwarber has homered in back-to-back games against teams with winning records.
Phillies have covered the run line in their last 9 Mondays against NL East opponents.
New York Mets
5-5 in the last 10 games.
Francisco Lindor has hit safely in 10 straight NL East match-ups.
The Mets are 19-17 against left-handed pitching this season.
Betting Picks:
After reviewing all the stats, trends, and current form, here are the best betting picks for the Phillies vs. Mets on August 25th.
Senga is a great home pitcher with a track record against the Phillies.
The Phillies are 36 points lower hitting on the road.
Both teams have averaged 6.1 runs a game over the last 10 games played.
Over has hit in 6 of the last 10 head-to-heads.
Kodai Senga over 6+ strikeouts (has had 9 of the last 11 home starts with 6+).
Juan Soto HR anytime (3 HRs in the last 4 games as a dog).
Bryce Harper to record a hit (on a 7-game streak).
Who Would Win the Match?
The Phillies and Mets met for a Friday night showdown at Citi Field that could determine the NL East playoff positions during the dog days of summer. The Phillies will be trying to expand their lead in the division while the Mets try to hang onto playoff spots.
