The Premier League is bringing us another West London derby in-game week 3 as Chelsea takes on Fulham at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, August 30th, 2025 (11:30 AM UTC). Chelsea will be the firm favorites for the match against Fulham, although the Cottagers will be sure to make it tough, especially considering the way Fulham has seemingly improved under Marco Silva. The Blues are looking to build on another strong season in their second campaign with Enzo Maresca at the helm, while the Cottagers are looking to prove they can consistently be a threat to the top-six teams in the league.
Chelsea vs. Fulham Head-to-Head Record
This derby has been ripe with drama in recent seasons.
Surge of Chelsea: Historically the Blues have had the edge, winning 53 of the 93 meetings across all competitions.
Rarely from Fulham: Fulham have only beaten Chelsea three times in the Premier League era; their last away win at Stamford Bridge was December 2024 (2-1). It was the first time they won at the Bridge since 1979.
Generally Tight: Chelsea has beaten Fulham by three or more goals once since 2013, showing how tight these games generally are.
Last season: Both clubs were able to win away matches—Chelsea took Fulham 2-1 at Craven, while Fulham stunned Chelsea at the Bridge on Boxing Day by 2-1.
- Key Betting Trend: Matches rarely go one way—Chelsea has won by exactly 2 goals in 4 of the last 12 matches. Betting on Chelsea to win by 2 goals is a good option.
Chelsea Betting & Tips
Chelsea kicked off their first 2025/26 Premier League season game with a 0-0 draw at home against Crystal Palace but responded with a 5-1 away win vs. West Ham in their second game.
Attacking resurgence: João Pedro (new signing from Brighton) was involved in both clubs’ scoring and assisting in the West Ham match and became the team's main attacking threat.
Young jewels: Estevão Willian (just 18) dazzled with flair and creativity, already earning recognition as one of the best prospects in Europe.
Midfield balance: Enzo Fernández (new signing) and Moisés Caicedo provided balance in the midfield scoring in the West Ham game.
Defend with stability: Chelsea’s back four with Trevoh Chalobah and Tosin Adarabioyo were solid, despite both Levi Colwill (injured) and Benoît Badiashile (injured).
Enzo Maresca’s tactical approach is to train players in ball possession, vertical passing, and aggressive pressing. Chelsea maintained possession and attacked West Ham with waves of pressure, but like the Palace game, they were unable to break down low blocks at home.
Chelsea:
Unbeaten over their last 11 home Premier League matches.
Scored 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 7 matches in all competitions.
Conceded only 18 goals in 20 home Premier League games during the Maresca managerial period.
Chelsea betting angles:
To be fast starters in scoring first-half goals (currently at 14/5 odds 2+x before half), and they rarely lose at home.
Back Chelsea to win.
Fulham Form Guide & Tactical Analysis
Fulham has kicked off their season with back-to-back 1-1 draws:
Away to Brighton—struck deep in stoppage time by Rodrigo Muniz
Home to Manchester United—snatched another point late on by new signing Emile Smith Rowe
Their ability to recover from losing positions shows character, and they are also developing a habit of conceding late.
Rodrigo Muniz—Emerging as the most dangerous "super-sub" in the league, with the highest impact in goals off the bench than anyone since 2024
Emile Smith Rowe—already having an impact, with creativity and composure
Defensive gaps—A few issues here; despite the presence of solid center backs (Andersen & Bassey), they have conceded goals in 5 of their last 6 away games.
Tactical setup—Marco Silva utilizes a compact defensive structure and relies on quick counterattacks behind width from Harry Wilson and Alex Iwobi.
Fulham's most recent data:
Have failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 consecutive away league matches.
Are undefeated in their last 2 away PL matches.
Scored in 33 of their last 40 Premier League [PL] matches
Fulham betting angles:
Both teams to score [BTTS] has landed often.
They often concede first but have been known to come back strongly late.
Key Players to Watch
Chelsea
João Pedro – 3 goal contributions in 2 games; Chelsea's new dangerous man.
Estevão—young winger bringing flair and creativity.
Enzo Fernández – controls the tempo in the middle while getting a few goals.
Fulham
Rodrigo Muniz—killer off the bench; changed the game in the last 10 or so minutes.
Emile Smith Rowe – fitting in already with Silva's system and is a creative outlet.
Bernd Leno—the keeper will be busy but ultimately could be crucial to keeping Fulham in the game.
Chelsea vs. Fulham Betting Odds and Markets
Bookies are all still really convinced Chelsea are firm favorites, so that part hasn't changed much.
Chelsea win: 63% chance
Draw: 21% chance
Fulham win: 16% chance
Markets to consider
Chelsea win to nil—great value now, taking into consideration Chelsea's defensive record at home.’
Correct score 2-0 Chelsea—a scoreline that falls in line with a number of their games thus far.
João Pedro anytime scorer—confident selection.
BTTS - NO - Fulham might struggle to break Chelsea down at the Bridge
Predicted Lineups
Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Sánchez, Gusto, Adarabioyo, Chalobah, Cucurella, Caicedo, Fernández, Neto, João Pedro, Estevão, Delap
Fulham (4-2-3-1)
Leno, Tete, Andersen, Bassey, Robinson, Berge, Lukic, Wilson, Smith Rowe, Iwobi, Muniz
Chelsea versus Fulham: Prediction & Correct Score Prediction
With Chelsea looking good going forward and Fulham not doing well defensively, Chelsea should be all over Fulham.
Chelsea has the squad, and João Pedro gives them added advantage.
Fulham's die-hard mentality is not good enough at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea has a decent home record against Fulham.
Final Score Predictions
Chelsea 2-0 Fulham (most likely)
Alternative - Chelsea 3-1 Fulham, if Fulham can score a late consolation (highly unlikely).
Best Bets
Chelsea to win & under 3.5 goals
João Pedro to score any time
Correct score: 2-0 Chelsea.
Current Odds from Stake.com
Premier League 2025 Betting Context
This is a derby, and it's not just about local bragging rights—this is all about league momentum:
Chelsea: Again chasing a top-4 place, and if they maintain their form, they could even be possible title outsiders.
Fulham: Just wants to earn mid-table safety and prove they can compete with the better clubs in the league.
For bettors, there are some safe wagers (underdog lines) (Chelsea to win, Pedro to score) and value picks (exact scores, any first-half goals).
Recap: Chelsea vs. Fulham Betting Tips Sports
There is always intensity in a West London derby, but Chelsea's talent and abilities have far exceeded that of Fulham. I expect João Pedro to again be the star player, Estevão to create some buzz, and Chelsea to win and remain unbeaten at home!
Our Bet:
Chelsea to win 2-0.
João Pedro anytime scorer.
Chelsea to win to nil.
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