Introduction
Get ready for a tough series on the horizon! The Cubs may have a slight edge with their starting pitchers, but the Twins' solid home game and powerful offense are definitely going to be tough competition. With fierce pitching matchups and strong offensive lineups, fans are in for a real treat during this midseason showdown. With some intense pitching duels and powerful bats on display, fans can expect a thrilling midseason battle.
Match Schedule & Broadcast Details

Game 1: Tuesday, July 8th
Time: 11:40 PM (UTC)
Venue: Target Field
Twins' Starting Pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson
Cubs' Starting Pitcher: Shota Imanaga
Game 2: Wednesday, July 9th
Twins' Starting Pitcher: David Festa
Cubs' Starting Pitcher: Cade Horton
Game 3: Thursday, July 10th
Twins' Starting Pitcher: Chris Paddack
Cubs' Starting Pitcher: Colin Rea
Betting Trends & Insights
The Twins have won 29 of 55 games as favorites (52.7%).
They've struggled as underdogs, winning only 12 of 30 (40%).
The Cubs, meanwhile, have won 41 of 60 games when listed as favorites (68.3%).
As underdogs, they've won 10 of 26 games (38.5%).
The betting trends suggest the Cubs are more comfortable as favorites, while the Twins have been less reliable in high-expectation games. Still, home-field advantage could shift the odds slightly in Minnesota’s favor.
Team Leaders & Key Players
Minnesota Twins: Offensive Leaders
Player | GP | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR% | K% | BB% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 73 | .270 | .334 | .544 | 6.4 | 27.1 | 8.3 |
Trevor Larnach | 84 | .259 | .322 | .428 | 3.5 | 22.3 | 7.8 |
Ty France | 87 | .255 | .316 | .361 | 1.8 | 15.6 | 4.1 |
Carlos Correa | 77 | .256 | .299 | .379 | 2.3 | 20.1 | 5.9 |
Willi Castro | 67 | .270 | .364 | .426 | 2.6 | 24.2 | 10.2 |
Minnesota Twins: Pitching Leaders
Player | IP | W-L | ERA | K | BB | OPP AVG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Ryan | 104.1 | 8-4 | 2.76 | 116 | 21 | .193 |
Chris Paddack | 95 | 3-7 | 4.64 | 68 | 24 | .253 |
Griffin Jax | 38.1 | 1-4 | 4.23 | 62 | 9 | .255 |
Simeon Woods Richardson | 63.1 | 4-4 | 4.41 | 55 | 24 | .251 |
Jhoan Duran | 40.1 | 5-3 | 1.56 | 45 | 16 | .197 |
Chicago Cubs: Offensive Leaders
Player | GP | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR% | K% | BB% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Tucker | 89 | .284 | .387 | .515 | 4.3 | 13.9 | 14.1 |
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 89 | .272 | .309 | .550 | 6.1 | 23.1 | 4.5 |
Seiya Suzuki | 86 | .263 | .319 | .561 | 6.5 | 26.7 | 8.1 |
Nico Hoerner | 86 | .287 | .336 | .382 | 0.8 | 6.8 | 5.6 |
Michael Busch | 83 | .297 | .384 | .566 | 5.7 | 22.6 | 10.4 |
Chicago Cubs: Pitching Leaders
Player | IP | W-L | ERA | K | BB | OPP AVG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew Boyd | 103.2 | 9-3 | 2.52 | 96 | 23 | .232 |
Colin Rea | 85 | 6-3 | 4.13 | 60 | 21 | .271 |
Shota Imanaga | 55 | 5-2 | 2.78 | 41 | 15 | .198 |
Cade Horton | 52 | 3-2 | 4.15 | 38 | 16 | .279 |
Brad Keller | 40.2 | 3-1 | 2.88 | 38 | 13 | .227 |
Recent Form & Momentum
Chicago Cubs (Last 10 Games: 6-4)
Swept the Cardinals in a key divisional series.
Suffered a series loss to the Pirates.
Offense slightly cooled, but bullpen stepped up.
Minnesota Twins (Last 10 Games: 7-3)
Split series with Cleveland.
Swept Royals convincingly.
Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa are both on hot streaks.
Game 3 Key Matchup: Joe Ryan vs. Justin Steele
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan (Twins) has been putting up some solid numbers this season. His ERA stands at 3.60, and he boasts a WHIP of 1.15. With a K/9 rate of 10.2, he’s definitely a strikeout machine. However, he did have a bit of a rough patch in his last game, giving up 5 earned runs over 6 innings against the Tigers.
Justin Steele
Justin Steele (Cubs) has been impressive this season with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.09. He averages 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings and recently pitched a solid 7 innings against the Cardinals, allowing just 1 earned run.
Analysis: This is a classic pitcher’s duel. Steele has been more consistent recently, but Ryan has better strikeout ability. If Ryan controls the strike zone early, the Cubs’ aggressive lineup could struggle. The Cubs will rely on contact hitters like Hoerner, while the Twins will counter with their power bats, especially against left-handers.
Key Hitters to Watch
Cubs:
Nico Hoerner: Contact king. Big impact vs. RHP.
Seiya Suzuki: Power threat, but can strike out.
Twins:
Byron Buxton: Dominates left-handed pitching.
Carlos Correa: Clutch performer in late innings.
Advanced Metrics
Cubs Team wRC+: 110 (10% above MLB average)
Twins Team wRC+: 112 (12% above average)
Justin Steele FIP: 3.30
Joe Ryan FIP: 3.65
These advanced stats reinforce just how even this matchup is. The Twins have a slight edge offensively, while the Cubs may have more bullpen stability.
Venue Insight & Weather Forecast
Target Field Record: Twins 25-15 at home
Weather: Clear skies, 75°F, light breeze—ideal hitting conditions
Home-field advantage could tilt the game toward Minnesota. Their offense tends to explode under these conditions.
Injury Report
Cubs: Ian Happ (wrist sprain)—Day-to-day
Twins: Jhoan Duran (shoulder strain)—Out
Duran’s absence may impact the Twins’ late-inning relief options. Expect the Twins to lean more on setup men like Griffin Jax.
Head-to-Head History
2025 Season Series: Tied 1-1
Last 10 Meetings: Cubs 5 wins, Twins 5 wins
Last Match Result: Cubs 8, Twins 2
Current Betting Odds from Stake.com
According to Stake.com (the best online sportsbook), the betting odds for the Minnesota Twins and Chicago Cubs are 2.18 and 1.69, respectively. Boost your betting by using amazing bonuses from Donde Bonuses welcome offers for Stake.com. Bet with Stake.com today and enjoy fast payments with a smooth, user-friendly interface with massive sports leagues to bet on.

Prediction: Who Wins the Series?
Get ready for a tough series ahead! The Cubs might have a slight edge with their starting pitchers, but the Twins' strong home game and explosive offense are definitely forces to be reckoned with.
Predicted Outcomes:
Game 1: Twins 6, Cubs 4
Game 2: Cubs 5, Twins 3
Game 3: Twins 5, Cubs 3
Series Winner: Minnesota Twins (2-1)
Confidence Level: 65%—Due to home-field advantage, Byron Buxton’s recent form, and Shota Imanaga’s limited innings.
Conclusion
Top hitters and some crafty arms are taking the field, so every single inning is going to count. Possibly both teams can take the series, but Minnesota has a slight edge by virtue of home-field magic and offensive momentum. Meanwhile, don't forget to make the most of Stake.us's special welcome bonuses via Donde Bonuses for an elevated viewing and betting experience. Final Score Projection (Game 3):
Minnesota Twins 5, Chicago Cubs 3
Confidence Level: 65%