Turkey vs Poland: FIBA EuroBasket Quarter Final
History is made at the FIBA EuroBasket 2025 Quarter-Finals as Turkey and Poland face off on September 9, 2025, at Arena Riga, Latvia. Both teams have wrestled through the group and Round 16 stages, and the stakes could not be higher.
Turkey enters the flow being unbeaten, and they have displayed dominance, balance, and style; meanwhile, Poland embodies the underdog spirit, proving once again they flourish when underestimated. It is salvation versus style, narratives versus dreams.
Match Overview
- Fixture: Turkey vs. Poland – FIBA EuroBasket 2025 Quarter-Final
- Date: Tuesday, September 9th, 2025
- Tip-Off Time: 02:00 PM (UTC)
- Venue: Arena Riga, Latvia
- Tournament: FIBA EuroBasket 2025
Turkey battled with every group stage, winning every game and achieving nearly eleven points for every game. Both offence and defence held to strengthen their respective positions.
Turkey also showed their terrific shape with wins against strong Serbia and Latvia.
Poland is playing their second consecutive EuroBasket quarter-final, proving they are no longer outsiders.
Turkey’s Journey to the Quarter-Finals
Group Stage Dominance
Turkey battled through every group stage, winning every game and achieving nearly eleven points for every game. Both offence and defence held to strengthen their respective positions.
Turkey also showed their terrific shape with wins against strong Serbia and Latvia.
Round of 16: Surviving Sweden
Sweden gave Turkey a fright in the Round of 16. Even though they were the favourites, Sweden was able to stay in the game until the very end because Turkey had trouble shooting three-pointers (only 29%). Ultimately, thanks to Alperen Şengün’s brilliance (24 points, 16 rebounds) and Cedi Osman’s clutch shooting, Turkey secured an 85–79 victory.
Coach Ergin Ataman admitted that it was a wake-up call, and he expects his team to start sharper against Poland.
Key Turkish Performers
Alperen Şengün – The Houston Rockets star has been the heart and soul of Turkey, averaging a double-double and showing MVP-level dominance.
Shane Larkin: The team's floor commander, the naturalised guard, has been excellent at creating plays and making clutch buckets when called upon.
Cedi Osman and Furkan Korkmaz: These two consistent goal scorers and versatile defenders help Turkey balance its attack. Turkey are confident and full of energy going into the quarterfinals, but they are also learning from their close call with Sweden.
Poland’s Road to the Quarter-Finals
From Underdogs to Contenders
People didn't think Poland would be able to repeat their amazing run in EuroBasket 2022, when they made it to the semifinals. Missing NBA forward Jeremy Sochan due to injury only added to doubts. But Poland has once again defied expectations.
Round of 16: Stopping Bosnia
In their Round of 16 matchup, Poland defeated Bosnia & Herzegovina 80–72. After a slow first half, Poland turned up the defensive intensity, limiting Bosnia to just 11 points in the fourth quarter.
Jordan Loyd was sensational with 28 points, while Mateusz Ponitka added 19 points and 11 rebounds, showing his trademark grit.
Key Polish Performers
Jordan Loyd—This EuroBasket has been a breakthrough for Poland. His scoring has been a lifeline for the nation in critical matches.
Mateusz Ponitka—This is the captain and the player who relishes challenging scenarios. He volunteers to work on the offensive and defensive ends.
Michal Sokołowski & Andrzej Pluta—They both are prominent supporting players who bring intensity on defence and the ability to score.
Poland may not have as many stars as Turkey, but they are still a threat because of their fighting spirit and unity.
Head-to-Head Performance
Poland vs. Turkey Overall Record: All official games were tied at 2-2.
It is a long-awaited matchup, having last met 13 years ago.
Present Form: Poland (4-2) vs. Turkey (6-0).
Comparing statistics:
Turkey won by a margin of +10 points, scoring 90.7 points per game.
Poland: 80 PPG; structured, but relies on exceptional players.
Who Will Win in a Tactical Battle, and How?
Turkey’s Strengths
Inside Presence—With Şengün dominating the paint, Turkey owns a huge rebounding and scoring advantage near the rim.
Balanced Roster: Multiple shooters (Osman, Korkmaz) with a floor general (Larkin) boast great creativity.
Defence: Good wing defenders who can limit Poland’s perimeter shooting.
Strengths of Poland.
Perimeter shooting: Loyd, Sokołowski, and Pluta go beyond the arc and can breach the defence.
Underdog Mentality: Poland is willing to take risks and overcome great challenges, like defeating much stronger teams.
Ponitka’s Leadership: A more seasoned player who participates in crucial moments of the game.
Key Matchups
Can Balcerowski and Olejniczak restrain Şengün's domination against Poland's Bigs?
Larkin vs. Loyd—Playmaking vs. scoring; whoever controls the tempo may decide the game.
Ponitka vs. Osman—Two versatile wings battling on both ends.
Injuries & Team News
Turkey: Full squad available.
Poland: Missing Jeremy Sochan (calf injury).
This provides Turkey a major advantage in depth and versatility.
Statistical Breakdown
Turkey:
Points per game: 90.7
Rebounds per game: 45
Shooting: 48% FG, 36% 3PT
Poland:
Points per game: 80.0
Rebounds per game: 42
Shooting: 44% FG, 38% 3PT
Turkey's offensive efficiency and rebounding advantage make them favourites, but Poland's sharpshooting can keep them in the game if they get going.'
Prediction & Betting Analysis
Spread: Turkey -9.5
Over/Under: 162.5 points
Best Betting Markets
Turkey -9.5 spread – Turkey’s depth and inside dominance should secure a double-digit win.
Over 82.5 Turkey Team Points—Turkey has scored 83+ in all six games.
Jordan Loyd Over 20.5 points—Poland’s star will carry the scoring load.
Predicted Scoreline
Turkey 88 – 76 Poland
Turkey’s balance, depth, and star power give them the edge. Poland will fight hard, but without Sochan and against a dominant Şengün, their dream run may end here.
Final Analysis
Why Turkey Wins: Inside dominance, multiple scoring threats, unbeaten form.
Poland's strengths are their ability to hit three-pointers from high up, Loyd-C Ra's heroics, and their defence that causes turnovers.
Likely Result: Turkey will win by an easy 10-12 points and cruise straight into the semi-finals.
Conclusion
Cedi Osman and Furkan Korkmaz: These reliable goal scorers and versatile defenders provide balance to Turkey's attack. Turkey are going to the pairs, wishing for one medal finish for at least 20 years, whereas Poland are going all-out to prove that their 2022 run was no fluke.
Expect some hard-fought basketball and high energy in Riga. Whether you are rooting for the love of the game or for a fancy betting opportunity, this is one of the biggest shows of EuroBasket 2025.
Prediction: Turkey 88 – 76 Poland. Turkey advances to the semi-finals.
Lithuania vs Greece: FIBA EuroBasket 2025
Lithuania and Greece, in the EuroBasket 2025 quarterfinals, showcase how colossal two European basketball teams can be. The game will be played in Arena Riga, Latvia, and promises to have the same excitement as a semifinal. The EuroBasket 2025 quarterfinals will certainly have their own style and their very own goals.
Lithuania has maintained its reputation as one of the strongest countries in Europe. Greece waits to claim their first EuroBasket in 20 years as of now. They also have a major asset in the form of Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Tournament Overview
- Tournament: FIBA EuroBasket 2025
- Stage: Quarterfinals
- Match: Lithuania vs Greece
- Venue: Arena Riga, Latvia
- Date & Time: September 9th, 2025
Lithuania Team Preview
Road to the Quarterfinals
Lithuania enters this matchup on the back of a thrilling 88-79 victory over Latvia in the Baltic Derby. Despite being underdogs, they dominated from start to finish thanks to Arnas Velicka (21 points, 11 assists, 5 rebounds) and Azuolas Tubelis (18 points, 12 rebounds).
Strengths
Rebounding: Lithuania averaged 42.2 rebounds per game, the best in the tournament.
Paint Scoring: Score 40-plus points in the paint vs. Latvia, showing their inside scoring prowess.
Team Offensive: Multiple scorers contributed instead of their offence being dominated by a single star.
Weaknesses:
No-Shows: Domantas Sabonis is out with an injury, and Rokas Jokubaitis was injured earlier.
Perimeter Shooting Issues: The team is shooting only 27% from three-point range, which is among the lowest in EuroBasket.'
Depth Concerns: Relies heavily on starting five for consistency.
Greece Team Preview
Road to the Quarterfinals
Greece reached this stage after an 84-79 victory over Israel, driven by Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 37 points and 10 rebounds. They also claimed a group-stage win over Spain, showcasing their ability to rise in big moments.
Strengths
The Superstar Factor: Giannis puts up an average of 30+ points, being a force of nature in transition and half-court plays.
Defensive Rebounding: Has allowed opponent teams to grab 40+ rebounds only once in this tournament.
Transition Scoring: They scored 23 fast-break points against Israel, reflecting a pretty quick play.
Weaknesses
What Is the Reliance on Giannis? When he is off the floor, Greece has trouble scoring consistently.
That Is Bad 3-Point Shooting: Just 16% from deep against Israel.
Bench Depth: Secondary scoring is inconsistent.
Head-to-Head Record
Last five meetings: Lithuania 3 wins – Greece 2 wins.
Lithuania defeated Greece 92-67 at the 2023 World Cup (without Giannis).
Lithuania has won 4 of the last 6 EuroBasket meetings.
Key Players to Watch
Lithuania
Jonas Valančiūnas (Denver Nuggets): Veteran centre, dominant in the paint.
Arnas Velicka: Breakout guard with excellent playmaking and clutch scoring ability.
Azuolas Tubelis: Good for the rebounds and points double-double.
Greece
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Averaging over 30 points and 10 rebounds, he is an MVP-calibre player.
Kostas Sloukas: Main perimeter shooter, playmaker, and seasoned guard.
Kostas Papanikolaou: Defensive anchor and hustle man.
Tactical Analysis
Lithuania’s Game Plan
Slow the tempo and force Greece into half-court sets.
Crash the glass—limit Giannis’s fast breaks.
Use Valančiūnas to dominate inside.
Greece’s Game Plan
Push pace and attack transition with Giannis.
Force Lithuania into perimeter shooting (their weakest area).
Rely on Sloukas and Mitoglou to support Giannis.
Betting Insights
- Markets
Spread: Greece -4.5
Total Points: Over/Under 164.5
Best Bets
Lithuania +4.5 (Spread) – Lithuania’s rebounding edge can keep the game close.
Under 164.5 Points – Both teams prefer physical, defensive games.
Player Props:
Giannis Over 30.5 points
Valančiūnas Over 10.5 rebounds
Lithuania vs Greece Prediction & Analysis
This clash boils down to Giannis vs Lithuania’s collective strength. If Greece’s supporting cast struggles again from beyond the arc, Lithuania has the discipline to grind out an upset.
However, Greece's defensive strength and star power make them slight favourites. Expect a game to go down to the wire, with the outcome depending on late execution and rebounding battles.
Predicted Score: Greece 83 – Lithuania 79
Winning Pick: Greece to Win!
Conclusion
The quarterfinal of EuroBasket 2025 between Lithuania and Greece promises to be tense and full of technical plays while showcasing pro talent on the hardwood. Lithuania’s unit’s always impressive bonding, which helps them pull down rebounds while showcasing their determined defensive efforts, could very well trouble Greece’s Anthony Giannis.
On the other hand, the high-level talent Greece boasts takes the cake on numerous occasions during fast breaks, and their solid level of defence should deliver the Greeks their first medal in 14 years.
- Prediction: Greece to Win in a Tight Contest (83–79).
- Betting Angle: Under 164.5 Points | Giannis Over Points Prop.
