Lille vs AS Monaco Prediction & Betting Guide: Ligue 1

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Aug 23, 2025 14:25 UTC
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the logos of lille and as monaco football teams

Introduction

Get ready for an exciting showdown at the Decathlon Arena—Stade Pierre Mauroy, where Lille OSC will take on AS Monaco on August 24th, 2025, at 18:45 UTC. Both teams are feeling positive as they head into this match. Lille OSC is looking to launch their season with a bang, while AS Monaco aims to capitalize on their opening match win. Lille OSC, playing at home, will surely be looking to build on their draw in the last match, and with both teams looking to gain some early momentum, this match will be important in the French top flight.

We will discuss in this article the in-depth matchup, team form, team injury news, betting forecasts, key stats, H2H, lineup, and expert predictions.

Lille vs. Monaco: Match Preview

Lille OSC: Searching for Stability

Lille had a roller coaster start to their Ligue 1 campaign, drawing 3-3 against Brest despite holding a commanding 2-0 lead early in the game. Fans were reminded of Olivier Giroud's accurate finishing when he scored his 1st goal back in Ligue 1. However, defensive frailties were exposed as Lille conceded 3 times.

Lille finished last season with the 2nd-best defensive record in Ligue 1 (35 goals conceded), but the loss of several key players, including Jonathan David and Bafodé Diakité, has weakened their spine. Their coach, Bruno Genesio, will be keen to restore balance and ensure home dominance continues, as they are unbeaten in their last 6 Ligue 1 games at home.

AS Monaco: Momentum Under Hütter

AS Monaco, under Adi Hütter, began their season in style with a 3-1 win over Le Havre. Monaco appears to be set for another successful season with fresh additions like Eric Dier having an instant impact. With Maghnes Akliouche and Takumi Minamino in peak shape, their onslaught is still a serious concern.

However, Monaco’s away form last season was questionable—just 2 wins in their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches. This will be a key test for their ability to translate home dominance into away success.

Key Match Facts

  • Lille are unbeaten in their last 6 home Ligue 1 fixtures.
  • Lille has only won 1 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
  • Monaco has lost their last 3 head-to-heads against Lille in Ligue 1.
  • 8 of Monaco’s last 10 away Ligue 1 matches saw both teams score.
  • Lille defeated Monaco 2-1 in their last league meeting (Feb 2025).

Head-to-Head Record

Looking back at their previous encounters, Lille have enjoyed a decent run against Monaco recently:

  • Last 6 H2Hs: Lille 3 wins | Monaco 1 win | 2 draws

  • Goals scored: Lille (8), Monaco (5)

  • Last match: Lille 2-1 Monaco (Feb 2025)

Monaco’s last victory over Lille came in April 2024 (1-0 at Stade Louis II).

Team News & Predicted Lineups

Lille Team News

Unavailable: Tiago Santos (injury), Edon Zhegrova (injury), Ethan Mbappé, Ousmane Toure, and Thomas Meunier.

Predicted XI (4-2-3-1):

  • GK: Ozer

  • DEF: Goffi, Ngoy, Alexsandro, Perraud

  • MID: Mukau, Andre, Haraldsson, Correia, Pardo

  • FWD: Giroud

Monaco Team News

Unavailable: Pogba (fitness), Folarin Balogun (injury), Breel Embolo (injury), and Mohammed Salisu (injury).

Predicted XI (4-4-2):

  • GK: Hradecky

  • DEF: Teze, Dier, Mawissa, Henrique

  • MID: Camara, Zakaria, Akliouche, Minamino

  • FWD: Golovin, Biereth

Betting Win Probability

Win Probability

  • Lille: 31%

  • Draw: 26%

  • Monaco: 43%

Expert Analysis: Lille vs Monaco Prediction

This is a game that promises goals. The teams showed a mix of offensive strength and defensive weakness by both scoring 3 goals on opening day. Lille has an advantage because of its strong home record, but Monaco’s poor record away from home is still a concern.

Key Battles:

  • Giroud vs. Dier → Veteran striker vs. new defensive signing

  • Benjamin André vs. Denis Zakaria → Midfield duel for control

  • Haraldsson vs. Minamino → Creative spark in the final third

Prediction:

  • Correct Score: Lille 2-2 Monaco

  • Both Teams to Score: Yes

  • Over 2.5 Goals: Yes

Betting Tips for Lille vs. Monaco

  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS)—Strong trend in Monaco’s away games.

  • Over 2.5 Goals—Both sides showed goal-scoring potential in their openers.

  • Olivier Giroud to Score Anytime – Scored on debut, great value.

  • Denis Zakaria to be carded—aggressive midfielder, 9 yellows last season.

Conclusion

The Lille vs. Monaco clash promises to be one of the standout fixtures of Ligue 1’s second match day. Lille's home defense and Monaco's attacking flair could make for an intriguing encounter. Although Monaco is a bit favored, Lille will be no easy task to beat, given their home advantage and the history they have behind them.

  • Final Pick: 2-2 Draw, BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals.

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