Palmeiras vs Corinthians Copa do Brasil Showdown: Prediction

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Aug 5, 2025 20:20 UTC
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Palmeiras vs Corinthians Copa do Brasil Showdown: Prediction

Palmeiras and Corinthians Clashes Again

Palmeiras and Corinthians will face battle in the second leg of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 in what promises to be a thrilling match. With a semi-final position on the line, Palmeiras will want to impose dominance at home, while Corinthians will try to prove their worth away from home. The match is set to take place at the historic Allianz Parque, providing Palmeiras an advantage at home.

Match Overview

  • Date: 7th August 2025
  • Kickoff: 12.30 AM (UTC)
  • Venue: Allianz Parque
  • Competition: Copa do Brasil – Round of 16, Leg 2 of 2

Win Probability:

  • Palmeiras: 61%

  • Extra Time: 25%

  • Corinthians: 14%

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Palmeiras—Tactical Analysis, Form & Stats

Current Form: DWWWLD

Palmeiras go into this match after a 2-2 draw in the Serie A against Vitoria. Despite scoring late goals through Joaquín Piquerez and José Manuel López, the team's defense once again came into question as they conceded twice.

Palmeiras has been one of the most consistent sides in Brazilian football in recent years. Abel Ferreira's possession-based football has been crucial to their success both at home and on the continental stage. But recent defensive lapses have raised concerns.

Copa do Brasil 2025 Stats:

  • Matches Played: 3

  • Wins: 2

  • Draws: 0

  • Losses: 1

  • Average Goals Scored: 1.67

  • Average Goals Conceded: 0.33

Overall, 2025 Season:

  • Matches Played: 46

  • Wins: 28

  • Draws: 11

  • Losses: 7

  • Goals Scored: 73 (1.59 per match)

  • Goals Conceded: 34 (0.74 per match)

Key Players:

  • Mauricio (Top Scorer – 5 Goals)

  • Raphael Veiga (7 Assists, Playmaker-in-Chief)

Injury Report:

  • Bruno Fuchs (Hamstring)

  • Murilo (Hamstring)

  • Paulinho (Shin)

  • Bruno Rodrigues (Knee)

Insights:

  • Undefeated in last 3 home matches

  • Scored in 90% of their games

  • Clean sheet in 30% of games

  • BTTS (Both Teams to Score): 60%

  • 50% win rate in recent matches

Corinthians – Tactical Analysis, Form & Stats

  • Current Form: WLDDWD

The most recent Serie A match had Corinthians ending in a 1-1 draw against Fortaleza. A late goal from André Carrillo ensured Corinthians earned a point, showing their fighting spirit.

Defensive structure and tactical discipline under Dorival Júnior characterize Corinthians. They are currently unbeaten in the Copa do Brasil, having demonstrated a compact shape all through their matches.

Copa do Brasil 2025 Stats:

  • Matches Played: 3

  • Wins: 3

  • Draws: 0

  • Losses: 0

  • Average Goals Scored: 1.0

  • Average Goals Conceded: 0.0

Overall, 2025 Season:

  • Matches Played: 47

  • Wins: 23

  • Goals Scored: 56 (1.19 per match)

  • Goals Conceded: 46 (0.98 per match)

Key Players:

  • Talles Magno (5 Goals)

  • Memphis Depay (5 assists, set-piece threat)

Injury Report:

  • Hugo (Thigh)

  • Maycon (Thigh)

Insights:

  • Undefeated in last 4 matches

  • Fewer than 2.5 goals in last 6 games

  • Scored in each of the last 3 matches

  • Scored 0.5+ goals in the second half of the last 3 games

  • Clean sheet in 40% of games

Head-to-Head History

The rivalry between Palmeiras and Corinthians is as fierce as they come in South American football.

Last 6 H2H Results:

  • Palmeiras Wins: 3

  • Corinthians Wins: 2

  • Draws: 1

  • Total Goals: 10 (Palmeiras 6, Corinthians 4)

All-Time Meetings (Last 44):

  • Palmeiras Wins: 15

  • Corinthians Wins: 13

  • Draws: 16

  • Average Goals per Match: 1.67

Comparative Stats Breakdown

Palmeiras's Recent Game Trends:

  • Win rate: 50%

  • Avg goals scored: 2.0

  • Avg goals conceded: 1.0

  • BTTS: 60%

  • Games with 4+ goals: 30%

Corinthians Recent Game Trends:

  • Win rate: 20%

  • Avg goals scored: 1.0

  • Avg goals conceded: 1.0

  • BTTS: 40%

  • Games with 2 goals: 40%

Prediction: Palmeiras vs Corinthians

All signs point towards a competitive yet intense clash. Palmeiras' home advantage and attacking depth will give them the edge, but Corinthians' solid defensive setup will make them hard to break down.

Final Score Prediction: Palmeiras 3-1 Corinthians

Palmeiras should dominate possession and create clear-cut chances for themselves. Corinthians could well get a goal from a set piece or on the counterattack, but Palmeiras' attack should smash the game with its lead of Mauricio and Veiga.

Current Betting Odds from Stake.com

the betting odds from stake.com for the match between palmeiras and corinthians

Final Thoughts on the Match

This match is more than just a game-it has pride, a past, and is a ticket to the next phase of Copa do Brasil on the line. Palmeiras has it all: the numbers and the tactical edge; never write off a desperate Corinthians team. Stand by for a grand old classic, football fans.

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