The Grand Finale: Valencia MotoGP Preview and Predictions

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Nov 12, 2025 15:00 UTC
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grand finale of valencia moto gp 2025

The Circuit of Champions

The final round of the MotoGP season is one of spectacle and intrigue: the Gran Premio Motul de la Comunitat Valenciana. Running from November 14th-16th, 2025, the event at the Circuit Ricardo Tormo is rarely simply a race; it is historically the final battleground for the world championship. With its unique stadium atmosphere and tight layout, Valencia demands flawless precision under immense pressure. As the title fight often goes right to the wire, this preview breaks down the circuit, the championship status, and the contenders for the final victory of the year.

Event Overview: The Ultimate Season Finale

  • Dates: Friday, November 14th – Sunday, November 16th, 2025
  • Venue: Circuit Ricardo Tormo, Cheste, Valencia, Spain
  • Importance: This is the 22nd and last round of the 2025 MotoGP World Championship. Whoever wins here gains the last bragging rights, while any remaining titles on offer - Riders', Teams', or Manufacturers' - are decided on Sunday.

The Circuit: Circuit Ricardo Tormo

valencia moto gp 2025 racing circuit

Nestled in a natural amphitheater, the 4.005 km Circuit Ricardo Tormo is a tight, anticlockwise circuit featuring 14 corners, 9 left and 5 right, allowing spectators in the stadium-style grandstands to view almost all of the track, creating an intense, gladiatorial atmosphere.

Key characteristics & technical demands

  • Track Length: 4.005 km (2.489 miles) - the second-shortest circuit on the calendar after Sachsenring, resulting in very fast lap times and tight groups of riders.
  • Longest Straight: 876 meters.
  • Corner Ratio: With more left-hand corners, the right side of the tires cools down. The right-side cooler tire needs exceptional concentration and technical precision by riders to maintain grip in tricky spots on the track, like Turn 4.
  • Braking Test: The strongest braking zone is into Turn 1, where speeds drop from over 330 km/h to 128 km/h over just 261 meters, demanding perfect control.
  • All-Time Lap Record: 1:28.931 (M. Viñales, 2023).

Weekend Schedule Breakdown

The final Grand Prix weekend follows the modern MotoGP format, with the Tissot Sprint creating double the action and double the stakes. All times are Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).

DaySessionTime (UTC)
Friday, November 14thMoto3 Practice 18:00 AM - 8:35 AM
MotoGP Practice 19:45 AM - 10:30 AM
MotoGP Practice 21:00 PM - 2:00 PM
Saturday, November 15thMotoGP Free Practice9:10 AM - 9:40 AM
MotoGP Qualifying (Q1 & Q2)9:50 AM - 10:30 AM
Tissot Sprint Race (13 laps)2:00 PM
Sunday, November 16thMotoGP Warm Up8:40 AM - 8:50 AM
Moto3 Race (20 laps)10:00 AM
Moto2 Race (22 laps)11:15 AM
MotoGP Main Race (27 laps)1:00 PM

MotoGP Preview & Key Storylines

The Title Fight: Marc Márquez's Coronation

It's already been a 2025 season to remember for the Márquez brothers, as Marc (Ducati Lenovo Team) took his seventh premier class world title with brother Álex (Gresini Racing) sealing a historic runner-up finish. The main title may be decided, but the fight for third and the overall Manufacturers' Championship is most definitely wide open:

  • Third Place Fight: Marco Bezzecchi (Aprilia Racing) holds a 35-point lead over hard-charging Francesco Bagnaia of the Ducati Lenovo Team after the latter's DNF in Portimao; Bezzecchi needs a clean finish to ensure Aprilia's best ever result in the standings.
  • Rider Rivalries: The battle for fifth will be particularly fierce between Pedro Acosta of KTM and Fabio Di Giannantonio of VR46, as will be the fight at the tail of the top ten.

Riders to Watch: Masters of the Valencia Arena

  • Marc Márquez: As a newly crowned champion he will be motivated to celebrate with a win, and his historical record is very strong here (various wins, Best Pole).
  • Francesco Bagnaia: Even though he recently lost the championship, Bagnaia has been a two-time winner in Valencia, both in 2021 and 2023. He is going to be in desperation to end the season on a high note and probably steal third place.
  • Marco Bezzecchi: The Italian must ride a smart, controlled race to protect his championship position. His recent victory in Portimao proved his pace.
  • Dani Pedrosa & Jorge Lorenzo: Although retired, their joint record of four wins each at Valencia in the premier class, alongside Valentino Rossi's two, underlines the special challenge of the circuit.

Statistics and Racing History

The Circuit Ricardo Tormo has played host to numerous title clinchers and unforgettable battles since its arrival on the calendar.

YearWinnerManufacturerDecisive Moment
2023Francesco BagnaiaDucatiSecured the championship in a chaotic, high-stakes final race
2022Álex RinsSuzukiFinal win for the Suzuki team before their departure
2021Francesco BagnaiaDucatiFirst of his two Valencia wins
2020Franco MorbidelliYamahaWon the European GP (held at Valencia)
2019Marc MárquezHondaSecured his second win at the circuit
2018Andrea DoviziosoDucatiWon a wild, rain-affected race

Key Records & Stats:

  • Most Wins (All Categories): Dani Pedrosa has the record with a total of 7 wins across all classes.
  • Most Wins MotoGP: Dani Pedrosa and Jorge Lorenzo, both with 4 wins.
  • Most Wins (Manufacturer): Honda holds the record with 19 premier class victories at this venue.
  • Best Race Lap (2023): 1:30.145 (Brad Binder, KTM)

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Winner Odds

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Prediction Section

Valencia is a very unpredictable finale because the 'stadium' atmosphere promotes aggressive riding and high-risk overtakes. The winner in Valencia has to know how to handle the tight track well and maintain the tires, going through so many left corners.

Tissot Sprint Winner Prediction

The 13-lap Sprint demands an explosive start and immediate pace. Riders known for their raw one-lap speed and aggression will thrive.

Prediction: Given Marc Márquez's mastery of pole position and motivation, expect him to dominate the short race, leading a clean start-to-finish victory.

Grand Prix Race Winner Prediction

This 27-lap longer Grand Prix demands endurance and control. The rider who copes best with the particular tire stresses imposed by this anticlockwise circuit will win.

Prediction: Francesco Bagnaia has a perfect record of victories here in the championship-critical seasons. Intent on stealing third place in the standings and atoning for his Portimao DNF, Bagnaia will get down to business on Sunday. His technical precision combined with the experience on Ducati means he is my pick to win the final Grand Prix of 2025.

Predicted Podium: F. Bagnaia, M. Márquez, P. Acosta.

A Grand MotoGP Race Awaits!

The Motul Grand Prix of the Valencian Community is a celebration, a confrontation, and a final test, not just a race. From the tight, technical infield to the roaring stadium complex, Valencia offers the perfect, intense finale to the 2025 MotoGP World Championship. Although the main title might be settled, the fight for third place, the honour of the Manufacturers', and the final 25 points ensure that it is unmissable.

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