Stage 18 of the Tour de France 2025 is one of the most critical days of racing this year. A vicious high mountain stage of 152 kilometers from Saint-Jean-de-Maurienne to the mythical summit of Alpe d'Huez, this Alpine epic promises to be packed with legendary climbs that will shake up the General Classification and test each rider's heart, muscle, and brain to its limit. With only three stages remaining, Stage 18 is not just a battlefield, it's a watershed moment.
Stage Overview
This stage plunges the peloton into the very heart of the French Alps and has three Hors Catégorie climbs and each progressively more terrifying. The profile is relentless, with little flat road and over 4,700 meters of climbing. Riders will need to ride the Col de la Croix de Fer, Col du Galibier, and conclude atop the iconic Alpe d'Huez, whose 21 switchbacks have been the location for some of the Tour's most legendary battles.
Key Facts:
Date: Thursday, 24th July 2025
Start: Saint-Jean-de-Maurienne
Finish: Alpe d'Huez (Arrival at the Top)
Distance: 152 km
Stage Type: High Mountain
Elevation Gain: ~4,700 m
Route Breakdown
The race begins immediately with a steady climb, appropriate for would-be breakaways early on before descending into three behemoth mountains. The Col de la Croix de Fer serves as the intermediary, 29 km in length with long stretches of exposure. After a brief descent, riders overcome the Col du Télégraphe, a hard Cat 1 climb that traditionally comes before the Col du Galibier, one of the Tour's highest passes. The day ends on the legendary Alpe d'Huez, a 13.8 km drudge famous for its precipitous switchbacks and charged environment.
Segment Summary:
KM 0–20: Smooth roads, well-suited for breakaway opportunities
KM 20–60: Col de la Croix de Fer – a beast of a long climb
KM 60–100: Col du Télégraphe & Galibier – shared effort over 30 km of climbing
KM 100–140: Long fall and warming up for the last climb
KM 140–152: Alpe d'Huez finish to the top – the queen of the Alps climb
Key Climbs & Intermediate Sprint
Each of Stage 18's major climbs is legendary in itself. Combined, they create one of the most challenging climbing stages in recent Tour history. The summit finish on Alpe d'Huez could be the turning point for the yellow jersey.
Climb | Category | Elevation | Avg Gradient | Distance | km Marker |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Col de la Croix de Fer | HC | 2,067 m | 5.2% | 29 km | km 20 |
Col du Télégraphe | Cat 1 | 1,566 m | 7.1% | 11.9 km | km 80 |
Col du Galibier | HC | 2,642 m | 6.8% | 17.7 km | km 100 |
Alpe d’Huez | HC | 1,850 m | 8.1% | 13.8 km | Finish |

Intermediate Sprint: KM 70 – Located in Valloire preceding the Télégraphe climb. It is important for the green jersey rivals to stay in the race.
Tactical Analysis
This phase is going to be a GC riders' crucible. The length, elevation, and consecutive climbs of Stage 18 are pure climbers' dream and a nightmare for anyone with a bad day. Teams are going to have to make a choice: go for broke for the stage or ride to defend the leader.
Tactical Scenarios:
Breakaway Success: High likelihood if GC teams are only concerned with their competitors
GC Attacks: Likely on Galibier and Alpe d'Huez; time disparities can be astronomical
Play on the Descent: Technical downhill off Galibier may prompt aggressive play
Pacing & Nutrition: Critical with such sustained effort over high passes
Favorites to Watch
With climbing talent and altitude on the agenda, this stage will test top climbers and GC favorites. But opportunists can also come to the fore if the peloton gives them enough rope.
Top Contenders
Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates): Eager to ride Alpe d'Huez after falling short in 2022.
Jonas Vingegaard (Visma-Lease a Bike): Give the Dane every opportunity at altitude.
Carlos Rodríguez (INEOS Grenadiers): Likely beneficiary if front favorites cancel one another out.
Giulio Ciccone (Lidl-Trek): Could play mountain card in a long-range break.
David Gaudu (Groupama-FDJ): French hope with climbing pedigree and popularity.
Team Strategies
Stage 18 obliges teams to make the all-in commitment. Ride for the yellow jersey, for stage win, or just survival will be the motto for some. Watch domestiques go suicidal to get the captains in position.
Strategy Snapshots:
UAE Team Emirates: Might use a breakaway satellite rider to assist Pogačar later
Visma-Lease a Bike: Sense tempo on Croix de Fer, place Vingegaard on Galibier
INEOS: Could send Rodríguez or use Pidcock for chaos
Trek, AG2R, Bahrain Victorious: Will target KOM or breakaway stage win
Current Betting Odds (through Stake.com)
Rider | Odds to Win Stage 18 |
---|---|
Tadej Pogačar | 1.25 |
Jonas Vingegaard | 1.25 |
Carlos Rodríguez | 8.00 |
Felix Gall | 7.50 |
Healy Ben | 2.13 |
Bookmakers expect a battle between the two top GC riders, but breakaway stage hunters provide value.
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Weather Forecast
Weather can play a significant role in the evolution of Stage 18. It should be clear at lower elevations, but there is likely to be cloudy and rain nearer to the Galibier and Alpe d'Huez.
Forecast Summary:
Temperature: 12–18°C, cooler with altitude
Wind: Crosswinds on early stages; possible tailwind on Alpe d'Huez
Rain Chance: 40% over Galibier summit
Downhill descents will need to be taken carefully, particularly if wet.
Historical Context
Alpe d'Huez is not only a mountain, it's a Tour de France cathedral. Its legend is built upon decades of great battles, from Hinault to Pantani to Pogačar. The design of Stage 18 harks back to classic Alpine queen stages and could become part of Tour lore.
Last to feature: 2022, when Vingegaard eclipsed Pogačar
Most victories: Dutch riders (8), which has earned the mountain the nickname "Dutch Mountain"
Most memorable moments: 1986 Hinault–Lemond ceasefire; 2001 Armstrong charade; 2018 Geraint Thomas victory
Forecasts
Stage 18 will break legs and realign GC. Expect fireworks from the favorites and shattered dreams for those who tumble on the day's third HC climb.
Last Selections:
Stage Winner: Tadej Pogačar – redemption and supremacy on Alpe d'Huez
Time Disparities: Predicted 30–90 seconds between top 5
KOM Jersey: Ciccone to gain serious points
Green Jersey: Unchanged, zero points beyond KM 70
Viewer Guide
Viewers will be eager to view early on, as there will be sure to be action from the very first hour.
- Start Time:~13:00 CET (11:00 UTC)
- Finish Time (est.):~17:15 CET (15:15 UTC)
- Optimal Viewer Locations:Galibier summit, final switchbacks of Alpe d'Huez
Withdrawals After Stages 15–17
The final week of the Tour is always brutal, and the toll of the Alps has already been felt. Several key riders have abandoned the race in the lead-up to Stage 18, either due to crashes, illness, or exhaustion.
Notable Withdrawals:
Stage 15:
VAN EETVELT Lennert
Stage 16:
VAN DER POEL Mathieua
Stage 17:
These exits could significantly affect team support strategies and open up opportunities for lesser-known riders to shine.
These exits could significantly affect team support strategies and open up opportunities for lesser-known riders to shine.
Conclusion
Stage 18 is set to be a monumental day in the 2025 Tour de France and a summit showdown that combines historic terrain, fierce rivalries, and pure suffering. With three HC climbs and a summit finish at Alpe d’Huez, this is where legends will be made or broken. Whether it’s a yellow jersey defense, a KOM hunt, or a daring breakaway, every pedal stroke will matter on the road above the clouds.
Will Tadej Pogačar rewrite his narrative on Alpe d’Huez? Can Jonas Vingegaard prove his supremacy at altitude once again?
Whatever unfolds, Stage 18 promises drama, heroism, and perhaps the defining moment of the 2025 Tour de France.