Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Game 5 Prediction (Aug 23)

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Aug 22, 2025 11:50 UTC
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the official logos of atlanta braves and new york mets baseball teams

New York Mets and Atlanta Braves are set to battle each other in what is lining up to be an interesting MLB match. With both sides traveling down different roads this season, the game has a plethora of storylines, from the pitcher's duel on the mound to the sledge sluggers in the batter's box. This preview breaks down everything you must know, from team form and player stats to the latest betting odds.

Match Details

  • Date: 23rd August 2025

  • Time: 23:15 UTC

  • Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia

Team Summaries

New York Mets

The New York Mets sit second in their division with a record of 67-60. While they have had moments of playing well, consistency has evaded them. Recent form has seen them two games without a win, and they need to get back on the up. While they have a decent road record of 26-36, they have shown they can hold their own on the road, but they need to play well to take the Braves at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves are having a poor season at 58-69 and are sitting fourth place in their division. They have been poor overall, but they have picked up two consecutive victories, showing an improvement in current form. With a home record of 32-31, they feel more comfortable playing at Truist Park and will be looking to take that and use it against their division rivals.

Pitching Matchup

The Mets' starting rotation will be crucial in setting the mood for this game. The Mets will start with Clay Holmes, and the Braves will start with Cal Quantrill.

PitcherTeamW-LERAWHIPIPK
Clay HolmesNYM10-63.641.34131.0105
Cal QuantrillATL4-105.501.39109.282

Clay Holmes has been a more consistent choice for the Mets with a better win-loss record and significantly lower ERA. His ability to limit runs will be the determining factor. Cal Quantrill has not done well for the Braves, and that can be deduced from his poor ERA and losing record. The Braves will need him to perform well in case they need to shut down the Mets' bats.

Key Players to Watch

There are several players who can potentially contribute greatly to determining the outcome of this game.

  • Juan Soto (NYM): A Mets batting giant, Soto is the team leader in home runs with 31 and RBIs with 72. His ability to change the game with one at-bat makes him a constant threat.

  • Pete Alonso (NYM): Alonso is a run-producer, as he leads the Mets with 101 RBIs. His steady hitting (.264 AVG, 28 HR) offers a consistent offense.

  • Marcell Ozuna (ATL): Ozuna is Atlanta's biggest power threat this year, as he leads the team with 20 home runs and 60 RBIs. His bat will be important to Atlanta's run production.

  • Matt Olson (ATL): Olson brings a balanced all-around offense, leading the Braves with a .270 average. His on-base and run-producing skills (19 HR, 72 RBIs) make him an integral part of their lineup.

Head-to-Head Team Statistics

A look at season-long statistics shows two evenly matched teams, particularly offensively.

StatNew York MetsAtlanta Braves
Batting Average.244.245
Runs569557
Hits10341057
Home Runs167143
On-Base Percentage.321.321
Slugging Percentage.418.394
ERA3.814.30
WHIP1.311.29

Although batting statistics are quite similar, the Mets lead in pitching with a lower team ERA. However, the Braves have an advantage in WHIP by a tiny amount, so their pitchers have yielded a fewer baserunners per inning.

Recent Game Analysis

New York Mets (2-3 last 5)

  • L 9-3 @ Nationals

  • L 5-4 @ Nationals

  • W 8-1 @ Nationals

  • W 7-3 vs Mariners

  • W 3-1 vs Mariners

The Mets have been on the up and down for the past few games, losing their last two after three consecutive wins.

Atlanta Braves (4-1 in last 5)

  • W 1-0 vs White Sox

  • W 11-10 vs White Sox

  • L 13-9 vs White Sox

  • W 5-4 for Guardians

  • W 10-1 for Guardians

The Braves have been playing great, winning four of their last five games, their last two being included. This can be a very good contributing factor.

Injury Report

Both teams are dealing with injuries that could affect their lineups.

New York Mets:

NamePosStatusEst. Return Date
Jeff McNeil2BDay-To-DayAug 23
Brandon NimmoLFDay-To-DayAug 23
Yacksel RiosRP60-Day ILAug 26
Tylor MegillSP60-Day ILAug 27
Oliver OrtegaRP07-Day ILAug 27

Atlanta Braves:

NamePosStatusEst. Return Date
Jake FraleyRFDay-To-DayAug 23
Chris SaleSPDay-To-DayAug 23
Luke WilliamsSS60-Day ILAug 26
Joe JimenezRP60-Day ILAug 27
Reynaldo LopezSP60-Day ILAug 27

The potential loss of McNeil and Nimmo could take some sting out of the Mets' lineup, as the Braves are also getting some heat for having some of their key pitchers on the injured list.

Current Betting Odds

The game's live odds through Stake.com are the following:

Winner Odds

  • New York Mets: 1.79

  • Atlanta Braves: 2.04

the betting odds from stake.com for the match between atlanta braves and new york mets

The Mets are favored to win, likely because they have the better season record and the pitching matchup favoring Clay Holmes.

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Game Prediction

Considering everything, the New York Mets would appear to hold the edge here. The biggest reason is the pitching duel. Clay Holmes has pitched better this year than Cal Quantrill and that should give the Mets the first advantage.

Since the Braves are playing at home and are on a roll, their offense numbers are quite similar to the Mets, and they have no clear advantage at the plate. The Mets' better standing and pitching corps provide them with the momentum to win.

  • Prediction: New York Mets to win.

Final Thoughts on the Matchup

This series is a classic clash between a team trying to solidify its place (Mets) and a team trying to ride momentum (Braves). The pitching battle will be the deciding factor, and the Mets have a clear advantage in that department. However, baseball is a volatile sport and with the best talent on both sides of the ball able to take over, it could be an entertaining ride for spectators and bettors to witness.

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