There are only a limited number of dates on the Bundesliga schedule that have the football world buzzing, and Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund is undoubtedly at the top of that list. In 2025, our Allianz Arena will once again present fans with a fever-inducing version of Der Klassiker, when league-leading Bayern Munich (18 points) takes on second-place Borussia Dortmund (14 points), and you can rest assured it will be an exciting afternoon of German football.
Bundesliga’s Greatest Rivalry: Der Klassiker lives on
There are rivalries, and then there’s Der Klassiker, which is a footballing battle that transcends generations. From the packed stadium in Munich to the roaring Yellow Wall of Dortmund, this is a matchup that defines German football. Bayern Munich has reigned over the modern Bundesliga: a deep squad, technical precision, and a genuine urgency to win more silverware. Dortmund, on the other hand, has been the league’s romantic underdog: bold, young, and fearless in its attempt to take down the champions. When the two clubs meet, there is more at stake than a single match. It is a reflection of supremacy, a battle for identity, and a 90-minute drama that will influence the Bundesliga title chase.
Betting Preview: Odds, Tips & Best Bets
For the betting public, it is one of the most exciting fixtures on the calendar. Bayern Munich are firm favourites at 1.33, while Dortmund is very distant at 7.9, with a draw around 5.5.
Our prediction models lean quite heavily towards Bayern, predicting that they will emerge victorious at home with a 3-1 scoreline. The over 2.5 goals market looks an absolute lock here with the attacking tools on show rated at odds of 1.3 and a high level of trust very well placed.
Betting Picks:
Bayern to Win (Full-Time Result)
Both Teams To Score (BTTS: Yes)
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct Score: 3-1 Bayern Munich
First Goal Scorer: Harry Kane
This match has all the ingredients to have goals and all the drama attached for each fan, and high-stakes, live betting action can be absolutely electrifying on Stake.com.
Tactical Analysis: Two Managers, One Goal
Bayern Munich—Kompany's Tactical Revolution
Bayern Munich has become a precision machine and a distribution wizard under their new manager, Vincent Kompany. His footballing philosophy focuses on aggressive pressing, fluidity in ball distribution, and a front line that attacks in numbers. Kompany has a 100% win record (6 wins of 6) and has successfully re-established Bayern as an aggressive footballing force. The Bavarians have netted 25 goals and conceded only 3, demonstrating both attacking adventure and defensive discipline. Players like Harry Kane, Luis Díaz, and Michael Olise make up one of the most dangerous attacking trios in all of Europe.
Kane's numbers speak for themselves, with 11 goals in 6 games, which is nearly 2 goals a game and with the creativity of Díaz and the technical ability of Olise, look no further to find a team that can dismantle any defence. Kompany's side controls the ball (average possession of 68%) and plays through short, incisive passing. Expect them to press and quickly transition to suffocate all of Dortmund's team with pressing traps.
Borussia Dortmund – Kovač's Designed Balance
Niko Kovač has settled Dortmund down by creating structure and defensive solidity. While Kovač's Dortmund does not have the attacking strengths that Bayern has developed, their level of resistance has been respectable thus far. With 4 wins and 2 draws, the team is currently still undefeated and clearly has matured tactically.
The strategy is more pragmatic, using counter-attacking play, positional discipline, and the pure pace of players like Karim Adeyemi. The Croatian coach, who knows Bayern inside and out, having previously managed them, will be keen to ruin Kompany's perfect start. However, Dortmund's attacking numbers, with 12 goals scored in 6 matches, are pale compared to Bayern's 25. They may be hoping to take advantage of the rare time they can counter.
Key Match Stats
Category | Bayern Munich | Borussia Dortmund |
---|---|---|
Possession | 68% | 32% |
Goals Scored | 25 | 12 |
Goals Conceded | 3 | 4 |
Shots (avg) | 17 | 6 |
Clean Sheets | 4 | 3 |
Expect Goals | 2.85 | 1.38 |
League Value:
Bayern Munich: €906.65M
Borussia Dortmund: €438.10M
Across each category, the numbers favour Bayern, keeping in mind that bookmakers give them a large advantage. Still, Dortmund's attacking efficiency and unbeaten record at least guarantee that this will not be a one-way affair.
Head-to-Head: History Favors the Bavarians
The 2 clubs have met 68 times in the past, with Bayern Munich having won 36 times, Borussia Dortmund winning 16 times, and 16 matches ending in a tie. Demonstrating a potential shift in momentum, on the last 2 occasions that these 2 teams met, there was a 2-2 draw this past April 2025, in which Dortmund came back from behind twice.
That said, the Allianz Arena has often proven the most difficult ground for Dortmund. Bayern has historically won 12 of the last 17 Bundesliga Der Klassikers and has averaged close to 3 goals each (2.88 to be exact).
Key Players to Watch
Harry Kane (Bayern Munich):
The captain of the English national team is in phenomenal form—11 goals, 3 assists, and 62% shot accuracy. His clinical finishing and positioning are unmatched—this makes him a lethal weapon for Bayern.
Luis Díaz (Bayern Munich):
Even more than adding 5 goals and 4 assists, Díaz has elevated the left side of Bayern's attack, adding not only creativity but also chaos. His chemistry with Kane has been paramount to Bayern's attacking success.
Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund):
Fast, fearless, and direct—Adeyemi remains the only hope for Dortmund during transitions. He could utilize his speed to land himself in gaps if the Bayern backline gets overextended.
Form Watch
Bayern Munich - WWWWWW
Last match: Eintracht Frankfurt 0 - 3 Bayern Munich
Scoring: Díaz (2), Kane (1)
Summary Record: 6 wins, 25 scored, 3 conceded
Borussia Dortmund - WDWWWD
Previous Match: Borussia Dortmund 1-1 RB Leipzig
Goal Scorer: Couto (23')
Form Summary: 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 games unbeaten away from home
Team News & Lineups
Bayern Munich:
Kompany has no injuries and has a fully fit squad where Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies could make the bench.
Predicted Starting XI:
Neuer; Kimmich, De Ligt, Upamecano, Davies; Goretzka, Pavlović; Olise, Musiala, Díaz; Kane
Borussia Dortmund:
Dortmund also has a fully fit squad in addition to Serhou Guirassy, who will undergo a late fitness test.
Predicted Starting XI:
Kobel; Ryerson, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini; Can, Sabitzer; Sancho, Brandt, Adeyemi; Fullkrug
Analytical Prediction
Everything about this fixture suggests goals. Bayern Munich's performance at home, their ability to score goals, and their tactical discipline are the key reasons why they are so heavily favoured. Nevertheless, the setup of the attackers by Dortmund will not allow them to ease the pressure on the Bayern defence. As a consequence, Bayern will be controlling the ball most of the time and at the same time pushing hard right from the start; eventually, this would result in Dortmund being confined to their own half. Nonetheless, Kovač's team will try to use the speed of Adeyemi and the creativity of Sancho to quickly counter the security set-up by the Bayern defenders.
Current Odds from Stake.com

Bayern's Flawless Beginning Will Continue
Der Klassiker never disappoints and is more than a rivalry; it is a battle of philosophies, pride, and history. Although Dortmund's tactical discipline may keep things close early on, Bayern's depth and momentum should make the difference. Bayern, with Kane leading the way, while Díaz provides creativity and dynamism from the flank, looks unassailable at the moment. Look for fireworks, goals, and another emphatic performance from the Bundesliga's reigning champions.