New Zealand and Argentina will clash at Estadio José Amalfitani in Buenos Aires on 24th August 2025 at 07:10 UTC. This match will build upon the already riveting storylines in the Rugby Championship. After the All Blacks cordially welcomed Argentina with a warming 41-24, both sides enter this match with differing goals and contrasting intentions for their Rugby Championship titles.
Match Details:
Date: Saturday, 24th August 2025
Time: 07:10 UTC
Venue: Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
Referee: Nic Berry (Rugby Australia)
This game is more important than just points scored. Argentina is at the bottom, eager to earn their first points in the competition, while New Zealand is currently leading the Rugby Championship standings following their decisive opening victory. This match is a crucial opportunity for Los Pumas to demonstrate that they can challenge rugby's best in front of their own fans.
Background Analysis
Both teams enter this match having displayed contrasting recent form in their respective campaigns. The All Blacks have been the form team in world rugby since their 3-0 series whitewash of France during their July internationals, which they sealed with victories of 31-27, 43-17, and 29-19. This winning streak has further continued into their Rugby Championship opener, when they emerged a powerful attacking team and unforgiving defensive unit against Argentina in Cordoba.
Argentina, meanwhile, have had a more troubled build-up to this encounter. Their close losses to England (35-12 and 22-17) in July highlighted well-known consistency issues, although the 52-17 triumph over Uruguay confirmed their strength against lesser opposition. The 28-24 win over the British & Irish Lions provided an indication of what they are capable of when it is all falling into place, but last weekend's 17-point defeat exposed familiar vulnerabilities which have derailed their international tours.
Historical context adds further to the fascination in this meeting. Argentina recently triumphed over New Zealand for the second time in a row on their home soil, this time in Wellington (2024) after previously besting them in Christchurch (2022). This showcases their ability to do the seemingly impossible when the conditions are favorable. But they have yet to do so on home soil, making this weekend's meeting all the more crucial for their rugby development and confidence.
Team Analysis
Argentina's Strategic Approach
The Pumas enter this match knowing that they must address various areas of priority that contributed to their loss in Cordoba. Captain Julián Montoya has emphasized the critical element of discipline and identified their tendency to concede costly penalties at the tail end of every half as a top area that needs work. This has been the pattern with Argentina's recent performances, and their opponents use these lapses in discipline to construct unbeatable margins.
Argentina's strongest points are their intensity in the manner they play and their ability to maintain pressure for the full 80 minutes. Their forward pack, anchored by seasoned campaigners, possesses the physicality to match New Zealand's legendary power play. The backline, while not as prolific as that of the Kiwis, has some players who can provide moments of individual brilliance that have the potential to alter momentum irrevocably.
Key Players for Argentina
Julián Montoya (Hooker, Captain): His lineout percentage and directing skills will be crucial to Argentina's set-piece power.
Pablo Matera (Flanker): The tough-as-nails loose forward's ball-carrying and breakdown work remain crucial to the forward momentum of Los Pumas.
Gonzalo García (Scrum-half): Must pick up his service following a lackluster showing in Cordoba, where Simón Benítez Cruz's competition is acutely felt.
Tomás Albornoz (Fly-half): The Benetton playmaker showed us what he's capable of over the weekend and should maintain the form throughout the game.
Argentina's tactical focus needs to be on sorting out their maul defense, which against New Zealand's lineout driving was not good enough. In addition, their discipline at both half times must be sorted immediately, as this has cost them points time and time again against quality sides.
New Zealand's Dominant Display
All Blacks demonstrated why they are back as world number one with their crushing win in Cordoba. How they exposed the defensive weakness of Argentina and demonstrated defensive solidity was class apart for both teams. Scott Robertson's strategy has clearly resonated with his players, who executed their game plan clinically and ruthless efficiency.
New Zealand's pack in the forwards controlled the key situations, particularly with their driving maul and the scrum dominance they possessed. Back play created a variety of scoring opportunities, with New Zealand's back three causing constant stress to Argentina's defense with speed and clever positioning.
Key Players for New Zealand:
Codie Taylor (Hooker): The veteran's performance demands take on emotional resonance as he makes his historic 100th appearance in a Test match.
Simon Parker (Number 8): Making his Test debut. the Chiefs enforcer brings dynamic new pace. and toughness to the back row.
Beauden Barrett (Fly-half): The attacking regime in New Zealand continues to rely heavily on his experience and game management.
Ardie Savea (Flanker): The dynamic loose forward's breakdown skills and support play remain the benchmark.
Wallace Sititi and Tamaiti Williams (Replacements): Both players return from injury and bring even greater quality and depth to New Zealand's bench options.
The tactical plan of the All Blacks will probably be one of maintaining their set-piece dominance while taking advantage of Argentina's defensive fragility during transition phases. Their improved fitness levels and squad depth are significant advantages in the all-critical last quarter when games are often won and lost.
Statistical Comparison
Category | New Zealand | Argentina |
---|---|---|
World Ranking | 1st | 7th |
Recent Form (Last 5) | WWWWW | LWLLW |
Rugby Championship Points | 5 | 0 |
Points Difference (2025) | +17 | -17 |
Head-to-Head (Last 5) | 3 wins | 2 wins |
Key Matchups
The outcome of this game will likely hinge upon a series of key one-on-one and unit battles across the pitch:
Fly-half Battle - Tomás Albornoz vs Beauden Barrett: Barrett's experience and ability to manage the game are up against Albornoz's emergent talent and unpredictability. Barrett, 34, with those two World Player of the Year laurels to his name, takes on 27-year-old Albornoz, who is keen to build on his promising display at Cordoba.
Lineout Battle - Julián Montoya vs Codie Taylor: Both hookers have a big responsibility for the accuracy of their team at the set-piece, with success in the lineout tending to create field position and try-scoring opportunities.
Pablo Matera vs. Ardie Savea: Both players have the skills and physicality to secure the turnover ball, and there will be fierce struggle for control in the breakdown.
Scrum-half Service: Gonzalo García vs. Cortez Ratima: Both teams' offensive game plans will depend on accurate and timely ball feeding from the base.
Current Betting Odds via Stake.com
Winner Odds:
Argentina to win: 3.90
New Zealand to win: 1.21
Win Probability

Stake.com reports current betting odds reflect New Zealand's favoritism based on form and world ranking status. The All Blacks are much favorite to win, but Argentina's home turf and upset potential maintains competitive odds-on offer.
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Match Prediction
Despite Argentina's home advantage and motivation to claim their inaugural Rugby Championship points, New Zealand's superior squad depth, form, and tactical implementation provide them game-winning abilities. The All-Blacks’ ability to capitalize on mistakes by opposing teams and maintain energy levels throughout the full 80 minutes ought to be game breakers in Buenos Aires.
Argentina will perform better than they did against Cordoba, particularly with the passionate home fans and their desire not to suffer a second successive defeat. But New Zealand's class and experience will ultimately prevail over them, though the margin can be smaller than in their opening encounter.
Final Prognosis: New Zealand by 8-12 points, winning another coveted Rugby Championship title and solidifying their position at number one in the competition table and world rankings.
Championship Implications
This game is very crucial to overall Rugby Championship title. New Zealand's win would make it outright favorites to win the title, and with the shock loss of South Africa to Australia in round one, the stakes are high. For Argentina, avoiding loss becomes necessary to maintain genuine hopes of the championship and gain momentum for their remaining games.
The Rugby Championship remains exciting to watch with the combination of intense rivalries, technical excellence, and dubious outcomes. Saturday's match is set to be another chapter in this top-level competition's heritage.