On June 15th, 2025, the Estadio Municipal de Anduva in Miranda de Ebro will host a pulsating La Liga 2 Promotion Playoff Final 1st Leg clash between Mirandes and Real Oviedo. Both teams stand one step short of La Liga, and whoever wins today will probably grab the last coveted spot. They ended the normal campaign level on seventy-five points and are still unbeaten, so expect real fireworks. In this preview we break down tactics, recent form, stats, head-to-head history, and final predictions. And don't miss the Stake.com welcome offer: claim twenty-one dollars free plus a two-hundred-percent casino boost for your bets.
Head-to-Head Preview: Evenly Matched Warriors
Total matches played: 13
Wins for Mirandés: 5
Real Oviedo Wins: 4
Draws: 4
Average goals per match: 2.38
The rivalry between Mirandés and Real Oviedo was historically quite tight, with both the sides evenly sharing victories and goals. Their last meeting in March 2025 ended 1-0 in favor of Mirandes, despite Oviedo dominating possession (63%). That result underscored Mirandes' effectiveness at home even under pressure.
Form Guide and Road to the Final
Mirandés (4th in League—75 points)
Record: 22W - 9D - 11L
Goals For: 59 | Goals Against: 40 | Goal Difference: +19
Last 5 Matches: W-W-W-D-W
Mirandés have scored 7 goals in their 2 playoff games, including a thumping 4-1 win over Racing Santander in the semifinals. Under Alessio Lisci's tactical leadership and a high-pressing 4-2-3-1 system, Mirandés have shown attacking versatility. Players like Hugo Rincón Lumbreras, Reina Campos, and Urko Izeta are hitting form at the right time.
Real Oviedo (3rd in League—75 points)
Record: 21W - 12D - 9L
Goals For: 56 | Goals Against: 42 | Goal Difference: +14
Last 5 Matches: W-D-W-W-W
Oviedo comes into this with a 10-game unbeaten streak, having edged Almeria 3-2 on aggregate in the playoff semis. Coach Veljko Paunovic has relied on a structured setup with tactical fluidity. The evergreen Santi Cazorla and surprise defensive goal threat Nacho Vidal (4 goals in 5 playoff games) have been pivotal.
Tactical Battle: Contrasts in Philosophy
Mirandés dominates contests through strong pressing and broad overloads. Their main style of 4-2-3-1 uses wide play, quick breakaway, and a concerted effort to press, focusing on stopping the opposition from carrying the ball into attack. In contrasting styles, Real Oviedo emphasizes compactness, in well-organized build-up play, with a cool late midfield drive offered under the careful eyes of Cazorla.
Expect a collision of philosophies.
Mirandes demonstrates control through violence and transition.
Oviedo emphasizes the importance of discipline and experience in maintaining control.
Key Players to Watch
Hugo Rincón Lumbreras (Mirandes) is a dynamic winger with significant goals and assists.
Reina Campos (Mirandes) is a press-resistant creative who plays an important role in the buildup.
Urko Izeta (Mirandes)—3 goals in playoffs; poacher instinct.
Santi Cazorla (Oviedo)—Visionary midfielder, set-piece master.
Nacho Vidal (Oviedo)—Defender with 4 goals in the last 5 matches.
Statistical Analysis
Mirandes Average Goals (last 5): 2.4 per game
Oviedo Average Goals (last 5): 1.6 per game
Ball Possession: Both average 50%-55%.
Shots on Target (last 5): Mirandes – 86 | Oviedo – 49
BTTS Matches (Season): Mirandes 21 | Oviedo 23
Current Betting Odds and Winning Probability
Mirandes Win Probability: 44% (Odds approx. 2.20)
Draw Probability: 31% (Odds approx. 3.05)
Oviedo Win Probability: 25% (Odds approx. 3.70)
According to Stake.com the betting odds for CD Mirandes and Real Oviedo are as follows;
CD Mirandes: 2.09
Real Oviedo: 3.95
Draw: 3.05
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H2H Comparison Breakdown
Possession Last Match: Mirandes 37% vs. Oviedo 63%
Fouls: Both 15
Corners: 3 each
Shots on Target: Mirandes 3 | Oviedo 2
Result: Mirandes 1-0 Oviedo
Mirandés may not have dominated stats, but they capitalized on their chances, highlighting efficiency over control.
Recent match reviews
Mirandes 4-1 Racing de Santander
Possession: 50%-50%
Shots on Target: 7-2
Corner Kicks: 2-7
Oviedo 1-1 Almeria
Possession: 39%-61%
Shots on Target: 5-6
Fouls: 9-9
These matches impart the identity of each team: Mirandés—awesome, aggressive, and clinical; Oviedo—conservative and opportunistic.
Coaches' Insight
Alessio Lisci (Mirandes):
"We will not go with excuses for this one. Recovery is key. We respect Oviedo, but we will go for our goal with determination."
Veljko Paunovic (Oviedo):
"Cazorla is our intelligence and heart. Managing his minutes is paramount, but just having him out there is great for the team."
Score Prediction: Mirandes 2-1 Real Oviedo
Given their form, attacking consistency, and home edge, Mirandes are tipped to edge out Real Oviedo. Expect both sides to score, but Mirandes' wide play and set-piece threat might prove decisive.
The Road to La Liga Begins Here
The opening leg of the La Liga 2 promotion final promises to be much more than a typical kickabout; it will put dreams, nerves, and sophisticated tactics against each other. Because the trophy is still up for grabs and neither side dares count on luck, you can count on a bruising, no-holds-barred contest.
