- Venue: Yankee Stadium, New York
- Time: Thursday, June 5th
MLB 2025 Standings Snapshot
| Team | W | L | Pct | GB | Home | Away | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees (AL East) | 37 | 22 | .627 | --- | 19-9 | 18-13 | 7-3 |
| Guardians (AL Central) | 32 | 27 | .542 | 6.5 | 17-11 | 15-16 | 5-5 |
Game Odds & Key Betting Lines
Yankees -195, Guardians +162
Yankees -1.5 (+110), Guardians +1.5 (-128)
Total Runs (O/U): 9 (Over -102, Under -115)
Win Probability: Yankees 60–63%, Guardians 37–40%
Expert Score Prediction
Final Score: Yankees 4, Guardians 3
Pick: Yankees ML
Total: Under 9 Runs
Dimers’ Data-Driven Insights (10,000 Simulations)
Yankees Win Chance: 63%
Guardians +1.5 Run Line Cover: 55%
Under 9 Total Runs: 52% probability
Starting Pitchers Breakdown
New York Yankees—Clarke Schmidt (RHP)
Record: 2-2
ERA: 3.95
WHIP: 1.27
K/9: Solid command, limits damage
Strength: Keeps hitters off balance, thrives at home
Cleveland Guardians—Luis L. Ortiz (RHP)
Record: 2-6
ERA: 4.40
WHIP: 1.43
Walks: 30 in 59.1 IP
Home Runs Allowed: 7
Problem: Command issues + long-ball vulnerability
Yankees: Player Form & Betting Props
| Player | Avg | HR | RBI | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | .387 | 21 | 50 | o0.5 (-265) | o1.5 (-120) | o0.5 (+110) |
| Paul Goldschmidt | .327 | 6 | --- | o0.5 (-255) | o1.5 (+115) | o0.5 (+135) |
| Cody Bellinger | .253 | 8 | --- | o0.5 (-215) | o1.5 (+115) | o0.5 (+130) |
| Anthony Volpe | .241 | 7 | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| John Grisham | --- | --- | --- | o0.5 (-180) | o1.5 (+120) | o0.5 (+170) |
Standout: Aaron Judge
Ranks 3rd in MLB in HRs, 4th in RBIs
Unstoppable form, driving the Yankees' attack
Hit Prop Pick: Judge 1.5 total bases (-120)
Guardians: Player Form & Betting Props
| Player | Avg | HR | RBI | RBI | Total Bases O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Ramírez | .330 | 11 | 29 | o0.5 (-270) | o1.5 (-105) | o0.5 (+130) |
| Steven Kwan | .308 | 5 | --- | o0.5 (-260) | o1.5 (+130) | o0.5 (+225) |
| Angel Martinez | --- | --- | --- | o0.5 (-205) | o1.5 (+145) | o0.5 (+210) |
| Kyle Manzardo | .210 | 10 | --- | o0.5 (-155) | o0 1.5 (-155) | o0.5 (+150) |
Watch for José Ramírez.
Three-game hitting streak
.474 AVG last 5 games
Value RBI play at +130 odds.
Key Trends
Yankees
11–3 SU last 14 games
5–0 SU last 5 at home
UNDER in 13 of the last 18 games
3–7 ATS in last 10
6–3 ML as favorite last 9
Guardians
0–5 SU last 5 at Yankee Stadium
3–8 SU last 11 vs. Yankees
UNDER in 13 of the last 19
5–5 in last 10 games
6–4 ATS last 10
Injury Report
Cleveland Guardians (Key Injuries):
Shane Bieber, Paul Sewald, Ben Lively (P)—Out
Bullpen heavily depleted
Impact: Increased pressure on starters & overworked relievers
New York Yankees:
No major injuries reported in the active lineup
Final Prediction: Yankees vs. Guardians
- Betting odds: Yankees Moneyline – 195
- Total runs: Under 9 -115
- Aaron Judge: Over 1.5 Total Bases Prop Bet -120
- Guardians Lean on Runline: +1.5 -128 (Conservative Play)
Smart Bet Combo (Parlay Idea):
Yankees Moneyline ML
Under 9 runs
Judge Over 1.5 TB
Estimated Return: Somewhere between +250 and +275
