Union Berlin vs. Borussia Dortmund 31st August Match Preview

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Aug 28, 2025 21:50 UTC
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the official logos of borussia dortmend and union berlin

It’s just the beginning of the German Bundesliga season, but an early high-profile match is scheduled for Sunday, 31st August 2025, at the iconic Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund faces the ever-challenging Union Berlin in a match that sees a title hopeful going through change, facing a well-oiled and celebrated machine admired for its sharpness and bludgeoning resolve. It's more than a three-point battle; it's a huge test for both managers and the chance for the teams to set the tone for what their season will be like.

The pressure is in Dortmund. Having had a disappointing beginning to their campaign, the team of new manager Niko Kovač are keen to gain their 1st home win and demonstrate that they possess the quality to become title challengers. Union Berlin, meanwhile, arrived in the Westfalenstadion brimming with confidence, having opened the season with an impressive win. BVB’s high-tempo, flowing offensive game gets challenged physically by Union’s well-structured, physical, and counter-attacking style, which guarantees an intricate tactical contest for an eager crowd.

Match Details

  • Date: Sunday, August 31, 2025

  • Kick-off Time: 15:30 UTC

  • Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany

  • Competition: Bundesliga (Matchday 2)

Team Form & Recent Results

Borussia Dortmund (BVB)

The ideal life that many dreamed of has yet to begin alongside Niko Kovač’s time at Borussia Dortmund. The team's campaign began with the heart-wrenching 3-3 tie against FC St. Pauli, a goal that instantly put BVB behind in the fight for the championship. In spite of their attack, led by the prolific Serhou Guirassy, who found fleeting pieces of brilliance by scoring 3 goals, their defence appeared to be porous, conceding an equal number of goals.

Despite their early troubles, Dortmund can turn the script around with this match at home. An emphatic win in the DFB-Pokal gave a minor lift, but the real acid test comes at Signal Iduna Park, in front of the "Yellow Wall." The club would be eager to lay the 1st-week jitters to rest and show that their side, full of new faces as much as big names, can be an effective one as a cohesive unit.

Union Berlin (Die Eisernen)

Union Berlin's season has started in style under the guidance of boss Steffen Baumgart. The team emerged victoriously in a crucial opening day, 2-1 at VfB Stuttgart, the victory that not only provided three points but also a huge psychological boost. Having been sturdy through pre-season and having convincingly won out against Werder Bremen in the cup, Union appears to be in excellent form, adding to the reputation of being a gritty and hard team to overcome.

Their style of play is very effective, built around a solid defensive unit and a ruthless ability to counter-attack and score. They are a tightly drilled team, and their players carry out their roles to the letter. Union's away form has also been excellent, as they are undefeated in their last 5 away games, and winning here would be a club record. They will not be intimidated by Signal Iduna Park's environment and will look to stop their visitors and take advantage of any defensive mistakes.

Head-to-Head History & Key Stats

Recent battles between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund have been a mix of one-sided matches and end-to-end, close-fought encounters.

DateCompetitionResultAnalysis
Oct 5, 2024BundesligaDortmund 6-0 UnionA massive home victory for BVB in their last meeting
Oct 5, 2024BundesligaUnion 2-1 DortmundUnion's last victory against Dortmund, which came at home
Mar 2, 2024BundesligaDortmund 2-0 UnionA routine home win for BVB
Oct 6, 2023BundesligaDortmund 4-2 UnionA high-scoring affair at the Westfalenstadion
Apr 8, 2023BundesligaDortmund 2-1 UnionA hard-fought home win for BVB
Oct 16, 2022BundesligaUnion 2-0 DortmundA home win for Union in their stadium

Key Trends:

  • Dortmund Home Domination: Borussia Dortmund have swept all of their last 6 home matches against Union Berlin. The home advantage is a key part of this matchup.

  • Goals to Arrive: 4 of the last 6 encounters have featured more than 2.5 goals, which means that while Union is a good defence, the attack of Dortmund will and does break through it.

  • No Draws: Interestingly, no draws have taken place between the 2 teams in their previous ten matches, so one team often wins.

Team News, Injuries, and Predicted Lineups

Borussia Dortmund came into this match with an increasing injury list, primarily in defence. Nico Schlotterbeck is a long-term absentee via a tear in the meniscus. Emre Can and Niklas Süle are also absent with various complaints, forcing BVB to turn to new signings to fill gaps. The club signed Aaron Anselmino on loan from Chelsea towards the end of last week to help alleviate their defensive crisis.

Union Berlin, though, has quite a healthy bill. Key players like Livan Burcu are close to being back, and manager Steffen Baumgart can play a very much the same team that secured Matchday 1.

Borussia Dortmund Predicted XI (4-3-3)Union Berlin Predicted XI (3-4-2-1)
KobelRønnow
MeunierDiogo Leite
AnselminoKnoche
HummelsDoekhi
RyersonJuranović
BrandtTousart
ReusKhedira
BrandtHaberer
AdeyemiHollerbach
GuirassyVolland
MalenIlic

Tactical Battle & Key Player Matchups

The tactical battle will be a classic confrontation of defence versus offence.

  1. Dortmund's Style of Play: Borussia Dortmund, in the hands of Niko Kovač, will adopt a fast-paced, vertical style. They want to win the ball high up the pitch and feed it to their clinical forwards as quickly as possible. Dortmund will enjoy a lot of possessions and look for creative solutions from the likes of Julian Brandt and Marco Reus to find a way through Union's tight defence.

  2. Union Berlin's Approach: Union Berlin's game plan will be to play the bus deep in a compact 3-4-2-1 formation, encourage pressure, and then strike Dortmund on the counter. They will utilise their discipline and physicality to hurt the hosts. They will seek to exploit any laissez-faire defending from Dortmund's injury-ravaged defence with the pace of their wingers and the finishing of their striker.

Key Player Targeting:

  • Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund): The hero of last season is currently hot and in top form. His ability to find space for himself and score goals will be the Union's worst nightmare.

  • Julian Brandt (Borussia Dortmund): The playmaker of the team. His passing and vision will be key to getting past Union's solid defence.

  • Andrej Ilic (Union Berlin): The frontman is in form, and his swapping with other strike players and ability to hit on the break will prove Union's most potent weapon.

Current Odds from Stake.com

Winner Price

  • Borussia Dortmund: 1.42

  • Draw: 5.20

  • Union Berlin: 7.00

Win Probability According to Stake.com

win probability for the match between borussia dortmund and union berlin

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Prediction & Conclusion

This is no mere formality of a game, but the betting odds tell the story of this fixture. While Union Berlin's defensive resilience and the positive opening to the season make them a formidable proposition to break down, Borussia Dortmund's record of triumphing over them at home cannot be ruled out. The "Yellow Wall" will be screaming their lungs out, and BVB's overall firepower in attack, led by match-fit Serhou Guirassy, should be enough to make the difference.

Despite their problems at the back, Dortmund will be able to score at the back of the net a few times. Union Berlin won't be beaten easily and will score from the counterattack, but it won't be enough to grant them victory.

  • Final Score Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Union Berlin

A win here would not only be a massive confidence-boosting win for Niko Kovač's side but once more catapult them into genuine title contention in the Bundesliga this campaign. For Union, a loss would be disappointing but not unexpected, and they will have plenty of time to make good use of their initial success.

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