Motul Grand Prix of Japan 2025 Preview – MotoGP Predictions

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Sep 26, 2025 10:30 UTC
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bikers riding on japanese motogp

Introduction: The Ultimate Test in the Land of the Rising Sun Jp

With the MotoGP™ championship racing toward its cliffhanger climax, the paddock descends upon the Mobility Resort Motegi on September 28th for the Motul Grand Prix of Japan. It's not an ordinary Grand Prix; it's an odyssey to the heartbeat of motorcycle racing in Japan; a critical late season battle where national pride fuels the fight. Being the home event of titans Honda and Yamaha, the pressure is extremely high, making Motegi a cauldron of hot racing action and raw emotion. This preview delves into everything about the Japanese Grand Prix, from the circuit nuances to the championship plot and betting facts.

Schedule for the Race Weekend

Come with us for the total two-wheeled fix in Motegi (all times local):

DaySessionTime (Local)
Friday, Sep 26thMoto3 Free Practice 19:00 - 9:30
Moto2 Free Practice 19:50 - 10:30
MotoGP Free Practice10:45 - 11:30
Moto3 Training 213:15 - 13:50
Moto2 Training 214:05 - 14:45
MotoGP Practice15:00 - 16:00
Saturday, Sep 27thMotoGP Free Practice 310:10 - 10:40
MotoGP Qualifying 110:50 - 11:05
MotoGP Qualifying 211:15 - 11:30
Moto3 Qualifying12:50 - 13:30
Moto2 Qualifying13:45 - 14:25
MotoGP Sprint Race15:00
Sunday, Sep 28MotoGP Warm-up9:40 - 9:50
Moto3 Race11:00
Moto2 Race12:15
MotoGP Main Race14:00

The Circuit: Mobility Resort Motegi – The Stop-and-Go Challenge

motegi resort in japan

Image Source: motogpjapan.com

The Twin Ring Motegi racetrack, which is a part of the vast Mobility Resort Motegi complex, is renowned for its unique "stop-and-go" character. Unlike most fluid tracks, Motegi is a difficult test for a motorcycle's braking stability, acceleration, and grip.

  • Track Layout: The 4.801 km (2.983 miles) circuit features a series of heavy braking zones into tight hairpin and 90-degree corners, which are coupled together with short, high-speed straights. This pattern requires riders to be very precise and manufacturers to be very good at managing engines.

  • Technical Characteristics: Motegi's layout makes it easier to brake hard than most other tracks. When riders brake, they feel a lot of G-forces, especially when they go into Turn 11 (the V-Corner) and Turn 1 (the 90-degree corner). Exit drive and traction are equally vital for gaining time on the short bursts between corners.

Key Stats

  • Length: 4.801 km (2.983 miles)

  • Turns: 14 (6 left, 8 right)

  • Longest Straight: 762m (0.473 miles) – the back straight is crucial for top speed.

  • Fastest Lap (Race): 1:43.198 (Jorge Lorenzo, 2015)

  • All-Time Lap Record (Qualifying): 1:43.198 (Jorge Lorenzo, 2015)

  • Top Speed Recorded: Over 310 km/h (192 mph)

  • Braking Zones: 10 high-speed braking zones per lap, turn 11 the highest of them all, requiring a deceleration of over 1.5G.

History of the Japanese Grand Prix and Year-on-Year Winner Highlights

previous japanese moto gp races

Image Source: Click Here

The Japanese Grand Prix is filled with history, having decades of history behind it, and has been staged at various circuits throughout the years for its iconic races.

  • First Grand Prix: The first Japanese Grand Prix for motorbikes was at the iconic Suzuka Circuit back in 1963. For years, alternating between Suzuka and Motegi, the race moved permanently to the Twin Ring Motegi only in 1999 for MotoGP™, although it became a staple there in 2004.

  • Motegi's Special Heritage: Built by Honda, Motegi was conceived as a state-of-the-art facility, originally accommodating both a road circuit and an oval (the "Twin Ring" nickname being the result of this). Its layout favored Honda in the early years, although other constructors have enjoyed success there more recently.

Year-by-Year MotoGP™ Winners at Motegi (Recent History):

YearRiderManufacturerTeam
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucatiDucati Lenovo Team
2023Jorge MartínDucatiPrima Pramac Racing
2022Jack MillerDucatiDucati Lenovo Team
2019Marc MárquezHondaRepsol Honda Team
2018Marc MárquezHondaRepsol Honda Team
2017Andrea DoviziosoDucatiDucati Team
2016Marc MárquezHondaRepsol Honda Team
2015Dani PedrosaHondaRepsol Honda Team

Key Trends: Ducati has shown incredible power over the past few years, claiming the pole position in the previous three Motegi races (2022-2024). The outgoing Marc Márquez, during his time at Honda, was also a force to be reckoned with, winning three consecutive ones from 2016-2019. This emphasizes the necessity of braking stability and strong acceleration that Ducati and, conventionally, Honda were experts at.

Key Storylines & Rider Preview

With the championship at its dramatic phase, the Motul Grand Prix of Japan is full of intriguing narratives.

  • The Championship Battle: The spotlight will be on championship pacesetters in the MotoGP™. In case of tight points, every point that will be scored from the Sprint and the main race will matter. Francesco Bagnaia, Jorge Martín, and Enea Bastianini (if he is still in contention) will be under tremendous pressure. Bagnaia, 2024 Motegi winner and reigning champion, will be keen to hold onto his crown.

  • Home Heroes & Manufacturers: For Honda and Yamaha, Japanese Grand Prix is a big event.

    • Honda: Stars like Takaaki Nakagami (LCR Honda) will be carrying the hopes of home fans on their shoulders. Honda will be keen to showcase improvement and perhaps battle for a podium, especially after recent setbacks. A solid ride here is vital for morale of home team and progress in the future.

    • Yamaha: Fabio Quartararo will be taking his Yamaha to its maximum. Although the M1 has been brilliant at times, Motegi's stop-and-go can unleash its vulnerabilities at acceleration. But if Quartararo can get as much as possible out of his corner speed and braking, he may come as a surprise.

Rider Form & Momentum: Who's Hot and Who's Not?

  • Ducati Domination: Ducati's strong engine and brilliant braking tend to make them incredibly tough at Motegi. Factory riders and satellite teams like Pramac will be among the contenders. Jorge Martín, the 2023 winner here, will be one to watch.

  • April's Challenge: Aprilia riders like Aleix Espargaró and Maverick Viñales have made strong strides. Brilliant front-end response and braking stability can make them dark horses for a podium.

  • KTM's Aspirations: With Brad Binder and Jack Miller (a former Motegi victor for Ducati), KTM's hard-charging package could dominate the deep braking zones.

The Motegi Experts: Look out for riders with a history of performance here. While Marc Márquez is no longer on Honda, his past dominance (winning 3 times between 2016-2019) at Motegi shows that his riding style is particularly well-adapted to the circuit. His move to another manufacturer will be one to watch.

Latest Betting Odds through Stake.com and Bonus Offers

For information purposes, below are the latest betting odds for the Motul Grand Prix of Japan:

Motul Grand Prix of Japan - Winner of Race

RiderOdds
Marc Marquez1.40
Alex Marquez5.50
Marco Bezzecchi9.00
Francesco Bagnaia10.00
Pedro Acosta19.00
Fabio Quartararo23.00
Franco Morbidelli36.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio36.00
Brad Binder51.00
betting odds from stake.com for the japanese grand prix moto gp

(Odds are indicative and subject to change) – Click Here to check the updated betting odds.

Donde Bonuses Bonus Offers

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Prediction & Final Thoughts

The Motul Grand Prix of Japan will be an action-packed event. Braking stability and aggressive acceleration will dictate the outcome. Ducati, with its proven track record and intimidating horsepower, starts out as the favorite.

  • Race Prediction: While Francesco Bagnaia has a terrific recent history here, and his championship focus will be absolute, Jorge Martín's aggressive style and 2023 victory make him a force to be taken seriously, especially if he needs to make up ground in the championship. Because of the requirements of the circuit, expect a fierce battle between these two men, with Martín maybe snatching the main race victory.

  • Sprint Prediction: The Sprint MotoGP will be even more of a thriller. With not as much space for tire degradation to be a factor, top-class starts and tough early pace will be the keys to success. Riders like Brad Binder (KTM) and Enea Bastianini (Ducati), who specialize in attacking riding and fast acceleration, are top chances for a Sprint podium or even a win.

  • Overall Outlook: Front tire management, particularly under hard braking, will be at the forefront all day. The slightly cooler temperatures that are periodically seen in Japan at this period of the year can also prove to be a complicating factor. The enormous pressure on Honda and Yamaha to put on a show for their home fans can also muster surprise heroics. Drama, intense competition, and a potential championship deciding swing is on the cards. Motegi seldom lets down!

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