Chicago Cubs vs. Brewers | NL Division Series Game 3

Sports and Betting, News and Insights, Featured by Donde, Baseball
Oct 8, 2025 11:15 UTC
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the official logos of chicago cubs and miluwaukee brewers

One City Holding Its Breath: Wrigley Hopes for a Comeback 

The air tonight in Chicago feels different. There is the faint chill that comes with early autumn in Wrigleyville, but there is also the freshly electric buzz of a city that finds itself awake, wrapped tightly around a sliver of hope. The Chicago Cubs, down 0-2 in this Division Series, step into Game 3 with no illusions; tonight’s game is about extending the Cubs' season and surviving, full stop. The Milwaukee Brewers, ruthless, streaky, and red-hot, were one win away from advancing to the National League Championship Series. 

Tonight is not just another night of postseason baseball; it is an emotional crossroads. Cubs fans are draped in blue and white and reliving that glorious taste of October. They believe in miracles; they’ve seen them before. And tonight, the ivy walls glisten under the lights with the whispering breeze blowing off Lake Michigan. They believe again! 

Match Details

  • Date: October 8th, 2025

  • Time: 9:08 PM (UTC)

  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

  • Series: Brewers lead 2-0

Setting the Scene: Wrigley Under the Lights

Wrigley Field has an enchanted quality to it because it is October. The ancient ballpark is full with memories, including decades of grief, heroes, and prospects. As the sun sets and lights turn on, the low drone of the crowd turns to a roar. This is playoff baseball in its most unvarnished form, every swing, every pitch, every glance from the dugout telling a story. 

The Cubs, bruised but not broken, make their way home, backs against the ivy wall. Manager Craig Counsell—a former Brewer himself and stands in the dugout facing the franchise he once played for and now seeks to revise. Meanwhile, nostalgic Milwaukee comes strutting in with a purpose and confidence born of a 2-game advantage in this 5-game series, smelling blood. 

So far: Brewers in Command

Games 1 and 2 were total Milwaukee. The Brewers let the full complement of their offense have its way with the Cubs, outscoring them 16-6 and dominating from the first inning until the last.  Game 2’s 7–3 win at American Family Field was a declaration which is also a notice to the rest of the league. The Brewers were not here to compete; they were here to win. This, combined with a strong performance by Yelich, clutch hitting by Chourio, and the cool handling of the rotation, has made Milwaukee look like a team that is meant for big things.

Now, they march into Wrigley in hopes of a sweep. History has proven that nothing can come easy at this ballpark, especially when desperation turns to destiny.

  • The Pitching Matchup: Taillon vs. Priester—573024 - 10 a matter of control and composure

For the Cubs, Taillon is a poster child for consistency. He has an 11–7 record with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP that depicts a veteran who thrives under pressure. He has been particularly sharp at home, with a Wrigley record of 5–2, and his command of the corners keeps hitters on their toes when he’s in rhythm.

On the other hand, Priester has been Milwaukee's unexpected hero, posting a 13-3 record with a 3.32 ERA. He is young, fearless, and has appeared unaffected by the pressure of the playoffs, showing great composure. However, he has been challenged against Chicago this season, giving up 10 earned runs in 14 innings. The Cubs have his measure, and they may just have a window back into this series.

Momentum Change or Milwaukee Sweep?

One of the few things that October baseball has taught is that momentum is momentary and vulnerable. One swing, one inning, and one play can flip a series. The Cubs are hoping for that spark and that the energy of their home crowd and the urgency of imminent elimination will ignite it.

The Cubs' home record this season—52 wins—illustrates their competency in changing Wrigley into a fort. They are going to need to bring that type of magic again, because the Brewers' road record of 45-36 also proves they are desensitized by hostile conditions.

Cubs Betting Trends: Where the Numbers Support a Comeback

  • In the Cubs’ latest 10 competitions, the favorites have prevailed in all 10 instances. 

  • The Brewers are experiencing a 7-game losing streak (in a playoff series) on the road. 

  • As a favorite, within the last 6 games, the Cubs led after 3 and 5 innings. 

  • If it is early momentum the bettor is trying to back, Taillon’s command in the early innings will create value, making the Cubs First 5 Innings ML attractive.

If the bettor is chasing totals, the Over 6.5 runs market is also a bright spot, with 22 total runs scored in two previous contests combined for both teams, and the wind at Wrigley is variable and relative, so the ball could travel further than we expect, or not at all, compared to an average park. 

Milwaukee’s Edge: The Power of Consistency 

Milwaukee didn’t rely on flash last night; they relied on rhythm. Brice Turang (.288), Christian Yelich .278 (29 home runs, 103 RBI), and William Contreras (.260) make for a consistent core of contact hitters. If you add in Chourio for a spark, now you have a lineup that can do damage. 

The strength of this team is its bullpen, with Devin Williams anchoring, and their ability to take control of the game late; Milwaukee’s control from the 7th inning on has been a silent killer of this series. If Milwaukee has a lead early, the Cubs will struggle to get back in the game. 

Chicago’s Hope: The Ivy Still Breathes

However, the Cubs cannot be disregarded. Seiya Suzuki has been very good at home—hitting in 12 consecutive home games, including four home runs in five games. The club's offense is better balanced and more patient with Nico Hoerner back as the heart of the lineup. And Michael Busch adds some danger from the left-handed side against right-handed pitching.

What does Taillon do? He gives his lineup a chance. The Cubs' bullpen has, somewhat quietly, been sneaky good; they boast a 3.56 ERA, and if Taillon is able to give his lineup a deep 6 innings, Counsell can figure out how to line up his relievers for a perfect ending.

Inside the Stats: Key Stats Before First Pitch

StatCubsBrewers
Team ERA3.803.59
Batting Avg.249.258
Scoring4.94.96
HR223166
Strikeouts per Game7.97.8

These two teams are nearly equal in terms of efficiency, but Milwaukee's contact rate and speed (2nd in MLB for steals) have been a difference maker in this series. Chicago has the edge in power and could change the narrative from that tonight.

Player Spotlight: The X-Factors

  1. Seiya Suzuki (Cubs) – One of the Cubs’ ignition switches. He has hit 4 home runs in 5 games as a favorite and has proven he can most definitely do it in Wrigley Field. If he continues to be aggressive in the first inning, he can really set the tone.
  2. Nico Hoerner (Cubs)—Leads all second basemen in hits and gives you stability when you have hitters in the lineup, especially when the thrill-seeking tendencies are strong.
  3. Christian Yelich (Brewers)—The heartbeat of Milwaukee’s offense. With a .410 OBP, Yelich is a constant threat batting average-wise, and his veteran eye means he is patient.
  4. Jackson Chourio (Brewers) – The kid has no fear. He has hit in ten consecutive games, including 6 RBI in the first two games of this series. If he keeps it up, Milwaukee may be popping champagne earlier.

Betting Considerations: The Smart Bets for Game 3

  • Cubs—Supported by their 52-32 home record and Taillon’s success at Wrigley.

  • Over 6.5 Runs—Both lineups have struggled for offense-oriented games.

  • First 5 Innings—Cubs ML—Taillon's rhythm early vs. nerves from Priester in the first inning.

  • Prop Bet: Seiya Suzuki to hit a home run (+350).

  • Bonus Bet: Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases. 

If you're riding with the Cubs, there may be no better time to add a little more thrill. 

The Prediction Corner

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Brewers 4

  • Total prediction: Over 6.5 runs

  • Win Probability: Cubs 51%, Brewers 49% 

Analysis: The Unseen Factors that Make the Difference for Post-Season Baseball

This series is about more than just stats. It’s about timing, temperament, and tenacity. Milwaukee feels like a team with the swag that comes from expecting to win; Chicago feels like a team that refuses to quit. Priester may have the early control, but Taillon knows how to sway a game late. Chicago’s bullpen has shown greater sharpness, although the lineup has sometimes been inconsistent, punching above its weight with mixed results. Expect the game to be deep, tense, and thrilling which is the kind of baseball that keeps you up past midnight.

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