We take you into Friday night baseball with an interesting interleague matchup in which the Atlanta Braves take on the Seattle Mariners at Truist Park. This game is scheduled for September 5th, 2025, at 11:15 PM (UTC). Chris Sale (5-4, 2.45 ERA) will start for Atlanta, and Logan Gilbert (4-6, 3.73 ERA) will get the ball for Seattle. The Braves, sitting with a 63–77 record in the NL East, are having a disappointing 2025 season. The Mariners, with a 73–67 record, are attempting to stay in the AL West playoff race by keeping pace with a very competitive division. Given the shape of both teams, motivation will be different. For bettors, this game has many value angles from sides to totals.
Atlanta Braves – Season Overview
The Braves have had a frustrating season in 2025 thus far, with a record of 63–77 overall and 4th place in the NL East. There have been some signs of quality from their pitching staff and their offence, although inconsistencies have hindered them on both fronts.
Offensive Summary
Atlanta’s offence is full of talent but has not been consistent; this has been especially true since Austin Riley has been injured. Below is a breakdown of their top hitters:
Matt Olson (1B): .268 batting average with a .365 OBP, 21 HRs, and 77 RBIs. His power is so important in the middle of the order.
Ozzie Albies (2B): .240 batting average with 15 home runs and 50 walks. He has been very hot lately with 5 home runs in the last 10 games.
Michael Harris II (OF): .249 with a 3.1% HR% and 77 RBIs. The speed he brings to the basepaths is also helpful.
Marcell Ozuna (DH): .228 batting average but has produced 20 HRs with 87 walks.
Drake Baldwin (C): The rookie has come up and hit .280 with a blend of power and plate discipline.
Even with some of the offensive core, Atlanta only averages 4.41 runs per game (15th in MLB), which is slightly below league average. Injuries and hitting streaks have not helped their consistency.
Pitching Staff
Pitching has also been an issue for Atlanta, but Chris Sale has been the ace of the staff:
Chris Sale: 5-4, 2.45 ERA, 123 Ks in 95 innings. Sale provides Atlanta with veteran experience to rely on in big spots.
Spencer Strider: 5-12, 4.97 ERA. Has incredible strikeout ability, but it's been a disappointing season with a lot of inconsistency resulting in losses.
Bryce Elder: 6-9, 5.54 ERA. Struggling to throw strikes and manage contact issues.
Cal Quantrill and Joey Wentz: Both pitchers with Rose above a 5.00 ERA, leading to a taxed pen.
Atlanta's pen is not in good shape with multiple arms on the IL (Lopez, Jimenez, and Bummer), and Snitker is forced to use the middle reliever in later spots, which would be a concern with a powerful hitting team like Seattle.
Seattle Mariners—Season Overview
The Mariners are currently 73–67, sitting in 2nd place in the AL West and struggling to gain any momentum. They've lost 5 of 6, including being swept by Tampa Bay. Their playoff aspirations are looking bleak, and recent struggles can't afford to carry over.
Offensive Breakdown
Seattle has one of the more powerful lineups in the MLB, ranking 2nd in the AL with 200 home runs, but their streaky nature has caught up with them, leading to close game losses.
Cal Raleigh (C): Leads the majors with 51 HRs and 109 RBIs. Has an elite 8.5% HR rate, but a 27% strikeout rate could hurt.
Julio Rodríguez (OF): Hitting .264 with 28 HRs and 24 doubles. Seattle's youngest star has been their most exciting bat.
Eugenio Suárez (3B): Contributing 42 HRs while hitting. 236 and striking out at a high rate (28.3%).
Josh Naylor (1B): The most consistent hitter, hitting. 280 with a good combination of power and patience.
Randy Arozarena (OF): Power and speed threat, with 24 HRs and solid defence.
The Mariners have averaged 4.56 runs per game this season, which currently ranks them 12th in MLB. Seattle has power, that is for sure, and they have the ability to hit the ball out of the park in a hurry, but their heavy reliance on this style of play makes them susceptible to pitchers who can strike out hitters like Chris Sale.
Pitching Staff
Seattle has had a solid overall pitching season, with a few arms dealing solid numbers:
Bryan Woo: 12-7, 3.02 ERA, .207 opponent batting average. A breakout season for Woo.
Logan Gilbert: 4-6, 3.73 ERA, 144 Ks in 103.1 innings. He has strong metrics; however, the Seattle Mariners struggle to win games when he pitches.
Luis Castillo: 8-8, 3.94 ERA. Castillo is the veteran of the rotation and will provide them stability.
George Kirby: 8-7, 4.47 ERA. Kirby has a lot of command but sometimes can be erratic and unpredictable.
Gabe Speier: 2-2, 2.39 ERA. Out of the bullpen, Speier has been one of the few arms who has provided Seattle with consistent innings.
Recently, Seattle has been punished by injuries in the bullpen, with Gregory Santos and Jackson Kowar being placed on the injured list, leaving starters to pick up even more of the slack. This is probably a big factor against a team like Atlanta with really patient hitters.
Head-to-Head History: Braves vs. Mariners
Recent encounters have been competitive:
May 2024 series: Braves take 2 of 3 at home – 5-2 in the win where they pitched very well.
2023 encounters: Braves win 2 out of 3 games, including 7-3 in Atlanta.
2022 series: The Mariners take 2 of 3 games; the games were close with tough defeats.
Overall, the Braves have been solid, but the power of Seattle has kept them in the games.
Betting Insights & Trends
Braves Betting Analysis:
46-45 as a favourite on the season (50.5%).
28-29 as favourite at -142 or more.
ATS (last 10 games): 8-2.
O/U (last 10 games): Over has hit 4 of 10.
Mariners Betting Analysis:
50-43 as a favourite on the season (53.8%).
18-20 as an underdog (47.4%).
ATS (last 10 games): 4-6.
O/U (last 10 games): Over hit 7 of last 10.
Key Trends:
Mariners: 1-10 SU in their last 11 road games.
Braves: 5-1 SU in their last 6 games vs. AL teams.
Prints: Under 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.
Mariners are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games vs NL East opponents.
Pitching Matchup – Chris Sale vs Logan Gilbert
Chris Sale (LHP – Braves)
5-4, 2.45 ERA, 123 Ks in 95 innings on the season.
Keeping hitters to a .229 batting average.
Lefties are hitting just .192 against him.
He has only given up 8 home runs all year – especially important against Seattle with their powerful lineup.
Logan Gilbert (RHP – Mariners)
4-6, 3.73 ERA, 144 Ks in 103 innings on the year.
WHIP of 1.02 showing good control.
Mariners are 4-6 in his starts.
He has been susceptible to home runs (16 HRs given up).
Edge: Chris Sale. His knack for neutralising power-hitting bats gives Atlanta the edge in this matchup on the mound.
Weather Watch - Truist Park Conditions
Temperature: 84 degrees for the first pitch.
Humidity: High temp meaning conditioning should yield more carry on the ball.
Wind: Out to the left at 6-8 mph.
Under these circumstances, players with power hitters, especially right-handed pull bats like Cal Raleigh and Eugenio Suárez, will take advantage of the conditions. Sale's ability to limit hard-hit baseballs and evaluate swings should temper any advantage hitters may have.
Key Player Prop Proposal
Matt Olson (Braves): Over 1.5 Total Bases (+EV exploiting Gilbert's flyball tendencies).
Cal Raleigh (Mariners): HR Prop. With 51 bombs already on the season, weather conditions favour Raleigh's power swing.
Chris Sale Recorded Strikeouts: Over 7.5 Ks. Seattle is a high strikeout team (1,245 Ks on the season).
Julio Rodríguez RBIs: Anytime an RBI prop offers potential worth considering in a matchup versus Atlanta's middle relief pitching.
Prediction & Best Bets
Score Prediction
Atlanta Braves 4 – Seattle Mariners 3
Total Prediction
Game total: Under 7.5 runs.
Strong starting pitching is expected, potentially dangerous bullpens later, but Sale will control the game early, maintaining low-scoring stats for the foreseeable future.
Best Bets
Atlanta Braves ML (+102) – Quite a premium to pay for Sale at home.
Under 7.5 Runs (Actually, both teams have been trending under recently).
Chris Sale Recorded Strikeouts Over (7.5) The Mariners' strikeout woes continue.
Final Words
The matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Seattle Mariners this Friday night offers another great battle with two solid arms and two offences that can explode at any moment. The Mariners are in the fight for playoff position, but this will be a tough one given how poorly Seattle's recent road trip went as well as their bullpen woes. The Braves have had a disappointing season, but with Chris Sale on the mound, that is a substantial edge versus the Mariners' power-driven offence.Also, don't forget about Donde Bonuses, where you can get Stake's welcome offers.
Best Bet: Atlanta Braves ML (+102) & Under 7.5 Runs.
