The 2025 Wimbledon fourth round is heating up, and Sunday, July 6th, promises two pressure-cooker meetings viewers and bettors alike will not want to miss. World No. 3 Aryna Sabalenka faces old adversary Belgian Elise Mertens, while Czech youngster Linda Noskova takes on comeback American Amanda Anisimova in a battle of young momentum. These games are crucial in this year's Championships because they are for quarterfinal spots.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens – Match Preview
Head-to-Head Record and Stats
Sabalenka and Mertens are not strangers to each other, as they were former doubles partners and singles opponents. They have faced each other seven times in singles, with Sabalenka leading 5-2. Their previous encounter was earlier this year in Madrid, where she thrashed her in straight sets.
Sabalenka's big-baller aggressive style has often overwhelmed Mertens' steady defense. On grass, Sabalenka leads her 1-0.
Sabalenka's 2025 Form and Wimbledon Dominance
It is said that this 2025 season has seen Sabalenka killing giants, with titles to her name at Doha and Stuttgart, and having never disappointed in quite a few Slam events throughout the year. As for Wimbledon, she had an easy time in the earlier rounds, dropping merely one set while progressing to the fourth round. She's served big—9.2 aces per match on average—and her groundstrokes have been merciless.
Sabalenka's ability to take charge of points from the baseline and improved movement on grass courts make her one of the biggest title threats this year.
Mertens' 2025 Season and Grass Court Performance
World No. 25 Elise Mertens has enjoyed a nice season in 2025. She might not have claimed a title, but she's reliably made it to the third and fourth rounds of grand slams. Her grass-court game has been solid—astute shot selection, solid returns, and excellent court coverage have allowed her to beat up-and-coming players.
Mertens' best Wimbledon show was in 2021 when she made it to the fourth round. She will need to improve a lot to make it difficult for Sabalenka's firepower.
Key Factors to Watch
First Serve: Mertens will need to serve at a high percentage to be competitive.
Sabalenka specializes in rapid rallies, whereas Mertens loves changing rhythms.
Mental Resilience: If Sabalenka starts slowly, Mertens has the potential to capitalize and make it a close fight.
Amanda Anisimova vs Linda Noskova Match Preview
Head-to-Head Stats
This will be the first-round meeting between Anisimova and Noskova, adding an element of surprise. Both are renowned for their clean hitting and tactical acumen.
Amanda Anisimova's Road to the 4th Round
Anisimova is enjoying a good comeback in 2025 after two injury-plagued seasons. She came to Wimbledon unseeded but has performed well, such as her third-round victory over 8th seed Ons Jabeur, in which she defeated her 6-4, 7-6 in an intense duel. Her backhand has been world-class, and she's holding 78% of first-serve points thus far after three rounds.
Wimbledon has always been a good fit for her game, as her flat, attacking groundstrokes stayed low and her court awareness enabled her to outmaneuver players.
Linda Noskova's Career and 2025 Season
Linda Noskova, 20, is a 2025 sensation. She played as far as the Australian Open quarterfinals and reached the semifinals in Berlin coming into Wimbledon. Her forehand has become a lethal weapon, and her serve is among the top of the next-generation stars.
Noskova has beaten tough opposition, including 16th seed Beatriz Haddad Maia in round two and remained calm in a three-set win over Sorana Cirstea in the third round.
Playing Style and Matchup Analysis
Don't miss this thrilling fourth-round match! Anisimova's steady play faces off against Noskova's explosive shots. Who will come out on top?
Key points of interest:
Noskova's Aggression vs Anisimova's Stability
Who Can Dictate the Tempo: They both prefer playing their way.
Tiebreak Scenarios: At least one set must go the distance.
Forecasts and Current Betting Odds – According to Stake.com
Sabalenka v Mertens
Winner Odds:
Aryna Sabalenka: 1.23
Elise Mertens: 4.40
Win Probability:
Sabalenka: 78%
Mertens: 22%
Prediction: Sabalenka's strength and assertiveness should carry her through. Unless Mertens manages to get under her skin early on, Sabalenka is a straight-sets winner here.
Pick: Sabalenka in 2 sets
Anisimova v Noskova
Winner Odds:
Amanda Anisimova: 1.69
Linda Noskova: 2.23
Win Probability:
Anisimova: 57%
Noskova: 43%
Prediction: Either of them could win. Anisimova's experience and cool head under pressure give her the advantage, but Noskova's form and firepower make her a live underdog.
Pick: Anisimova in 3 sets
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Conclusion
Sunday's play at Wimbledon features two Sunday fourth-round contests with contrasting storylines that are not to be missed. Aryna Sabalenka is seeking to continue her title tilt against a familiar foe in Elise Mertens, while Amanda Anisimova is attempting to derail Czech sensation Linda Noskova's rise.
With marquee players, high tension, and tight lines—especially in the Anisimova-Noskova matchup—these matches promise drama, tension, and top-notch tennis. Fans and gamblers alike should be watching what could turn out to be a pivotal day at the All England Club.
