Introduction
This match is an infinitely exciting way to begin the new Premier League season, with Arsenal hosting Nottingham Forest at the Emirates Stadium on September 13th, 2025. Arsenal cannot really complain about their start, having had a few bumps and twists on the way to their fixtures. Still, to assert dominance, it will be very critical for them to put in a strong performance at home while Nottingham Forest are trying to carry the momentum from last season and their project under Nuno Espírito Santo.
Match Details
- Date & Time: September 13th, 2025 – 11:30 AM (UTC)
- Venue: Emirates Stadium, London
- Competition: Premier League
- Win Probability: Arsenal 69%, Draw 19%, Nottingham Forest 12%
- Predicted Score: Arsenal 3-1 Nottingham Forest
Best Bets:
Arsenal to win: 69% chance
Over 2.5 Goals: Based on the attacking capability of Arsenal and the defensive problems of Forest
Martinelli Anytime Scorer: Key attacking threat and player to score
Arsenal First Goal: Historically have scored the first goal in the first half at Emirates
Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest: Form Guide & Team Overview
Arsenal Form
Arsenal started the season well with some dominant wins against Leeds United and Manchester United but was also humbled with a narrow defeat to Liverpool, who exposed some alarm bells that Arsenal will no doubt need to address, as away from home the players need to maintain better focus.
Recent Premier League Results:
Loss: 0-1 vs. Liverpool (A)
Win: 5-0 vs. Leeds United (H)
Win: 1-0 vs. Manchester United (A)
Arsenal's attacking play under Mikel Arteta involves ball possession, high pressing, and quick transitions. Although they do have some injuries to key forwards such as Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Jesus, Arsenal has sufficient depth to weather these absences, especially playing at home.
Nottingham Forest Form
Nottingham Forest had a mixed start to the season, which included a defensively weak performance and loss (0-3) to West Ham, albeit they were resilient with a draw (1-1) against Crystal Palace and a decent home win (3-1) against Brentford.
Latest Premier League Results:
Loss: 0-3 vs. West Ham United (H)
Draw: 1-1 on Crystal Palace (A)
Win: 3-1 v. Brentford (H)
Under Nuno, Nottingham Forest's strategy is to be defensively compact and to counterattack, and they will need players like Callum Hudson-Odoi and Morgan Gibbs-White to help take advantage of the high line that Arsenal usually defends with.
Head-to-Head Record
Overall, Arsenal has performed quite well against Nottingham Forest. In the last 5 matches they have a record of 3-1-1. They do have a record of significantly better performances in their stadium, which is also familiar on each occasion, as many players are used to the size and speed of their pitch. The Gunners have not lost to Nottingham Forest at the Emirates Stadium in their last 6 attempts, and Nottingham Forest's last victory in North London was back in 1989.
Recent Encounters:
Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal (26 Feb 2025)
Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest (23 Nov 2024)
Nottingham Forest 1-2 Arsenal (30 Jan 2024)
Arsenal 2-1 Nottingham Forest (12 Aug 2023)
Nottingham Forest 1-0 Arsenal (20 May 2023)
The overall record suggests a positive psychological advantage for Arsenal, especially when playing at the Emirates.
Team News & Injury Updates
Arsenal
Bukayo Saka (hamstring) - Out
Kai Havertz (knee)—Out
Gabriel Jesus (knee) - Out
Leandro Trossard (knock) - Doubtful
William Saliba (ankle) - Doubtful
Ben White (discomfort) - doubtful
Christian Nørgaard (knock)—doubtful
It may seem that the injuries have hurt Arsenal; however, with their squad depth allowing Arsenal to maintain attacking rhythm, the team looks to be stable even with Martinelli and Gyökeres potentially leading the line, with added creativity from players such as Rice and Zubimendi.
Nottingham Forest
Nicolás Domínguez (Meniscus) - Out
Nicolò Savona (knock)—doubtful
Cuiabano (sprained ankle) - doubtful
Forest will rely on their counterattack with Hudson-Odoi and Wood while being compact to guarantee their defensive organisation will frustrate Arsenal’s attacking plan.
Predicted Lineups & Tactical Analysis
Arsenal (4-3-3)
Goalkeeper: Raya
Defenders: Saliba, Magalhães, Timber, Calafiori
Midfielders: Merino, Zubimendi, Rice
Forwards: Martinelli, Gyökeres, Madueke
Tactical Insight: Arsenal will expect to dominate the possession in the fixture and stretch out Forest’s defence by using quick transitions and wide-verbal combinations from back to front. Arsenal’s midfield trio of Rice, Merino, and Zubimendi will be key in bringing (what they played against) tempo, transition, and possibilities on the pitch.
Nottingham Forest (4-2-3-1)
Goalkeeper: Sels
Defenders: Williams, Murillo, Milenković, Aina
Midfielders: Sangaré, Hudson-Odoi, Anderson, Gibbs-White, Wood
Forward: Ndoye
Tactics: Forest will look to defend deep and play on the counter, with Hudson-Odoi and Gibbs-White’s speed. What Forest can do to manage Arsenal’s attack and take advantage of the opportunities presented by Arsenal’s high line will determine how much of a chance they have in the match.
Key Battles and Players to Watch
Gabriel Martinelli vs. Neco Williams – The dribbling and pace of Martinelli will expose Williams defensively.
Viktor Gyökeres vs Murillo—Gyökeres's finishing and his similar stature/physique
Declan Rice (Arsenal) - Controls the midfield and disrupts the transitions for Forest.
Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) – Creativity and vision to unlock Arsenal.
Match analysis and prediction
Arsenal will probably dominate the possession; however, Forest’s low block and the possibility of counterattacks can prove very troublesome. Arsenal will have their work cut out for them, especially with the recent injuries, but taking into account their current form at home, I expect that they will win the game 3-1, controlling the match through the midfield and attacking the opposition more efficiently than their opponent.
Statistical Insight:
Arsenal: 100% home win record in Premier League (3 wins)
Forest: 50% away win record and one loss in league (2 wins; 1 loss)
Historically, Arsenal has a 67% win rate against Forest.
Predicted score: Arsenal 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest
Current Odds from Stake.com

Tactical Themes to Monitor
Arsenal Possession Play: By playing against a 3-2-5, which works best when they control the central third through the build-up. Key players are Martin Zubimendi in ball out play and Eberechi Eze’s movement between the lines.
Forest Counter Attacks: Less space for Forest midfielders to operate in; compact midfield and lines will allow for quick and decisive breaks. First, outlet balls down channels to Hudson-Odoi or Gibbs-White can create high-percentage chances.
Set piece Threat: Arsenal's defensive height and movement for corners, premium on second ball; Forest will also have opportunities to utilise Origi and his ability to capitalise on second balls and deep throw-ins.
Historical Context & Benefits for the Emirates
The Emirates Stadium has been a stronghold for Arsenal over the years. Out of 107 games, Arsenal has won 55, while Nottingham Forest has won 29 games. Including our last match in November, Forest has not won an away game against Arsenal since 1989, which gives an advantage to the Gunners mentally.
Highlights of recent performances:
Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest (Nov 2024)
Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal (Feb 2025)
Note that Forest has one chance where they can hold against Arsenal; however, with home advantage and squad depth, they have a significant disadvantage.