Girona vs Atletico Madrid: Match Analysis, and Prediction

Featured by Donde, Soccer, News and Insights, Sports and Betting
21 May 2025 07:20 UTC
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the match between girona and atletico madrid in La Liga

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Match Preview

Key Details:

  • Matchday: Sunday, May 25, 2025

  • Kick-Off Time: 3 AM UTC

  • Venue: Estadi Montilivi, Girona

Key Points to Watch:

  • The anticipation is growing for this captivating La Liga encounter as Girona prepares to welcome Atletico Madrid.

  • Fans are looking forward to seeing their team's determination and resilience prove to be a match for the deadly firepower of Atletico.

  • With each side bringing their own strengths to the pitch, this match is becoming an electric confrontation at Estadi Montilivi.

Each side has a lot to lose in this match. Girona is looking to finish the season on a confidence-building note after just managing to stay up, while Atletico Madrid is looking to secure their spot among the top three and maintain the momentum ahead of the summer.

Knowing the Teams

Girona

Last season Girona was at the forefront of La Liga discussion when their third-place finish earned them a UEFA Champions League spot. This time around, however, life has been very different. The departure of key players like Aleix Garcia and Artem Dovbyk left a hole that Girona has yet to fill. They are 15th on 41 points after fighting relegation fears but surviving due to crucial wins over the last few weeks. Despite the bumps, Girona has proved resilience and determination in remaining in La Liga.

Girona's success last season was based on good team chemistry and playing like a unit. In this season, unpredictable games and injuries have shattered that chemistry, and that's why they have been performing poorly on the field. But with young promising players like Portu and Cristhian Stuani leading the team, Girona is never to be underestimated.

Atletico Madrid

At the opposite end of the table, Atletico Madrid are seeking another good finish. They currently sit third in La Liga on 73 points, having set a treble aim early in the season only to fade in the backends of the competitions. Diego Simeone's side has shown determination and flashes of brilliance, including in the 4-1 beating of Real Betis in their last match. With the seasoned leadership of the likes of Koke and Luis Suarez, Atletico Madrid will be keen on finishing top in La Liga.

The Battle for European Qualification

While the top three have effectively clinched Champions League places, there is a desperate battle for fourth and Europa League places. Sevilla is at present fourth with 70 points, and Real Sociedad and Villarreal are close behind, having 59 and 58 points each. All three have strengths and weaknesses, and thus this battle for Europe is one of the highlights of the La Liga campaign.

Latest Team News

Girona

The home side has a list of missing players that is full of key players. Donny van de Beek, Bryan Gil, Ricard Artero, Miguel Gutierrez, and G. Misehouy are all unavailable. Manager Michel will likely employ a 4-2-3-1 system, but with this likely XI:

Krapyvtsov, Arnau Martinez, Alejandro Frances, Krejci, Blind; Yangel Herrera, Jhon Solis; Tsygankov, Ivan Martin, Yaser Asprilla; Cristhian Stuani.

Atletico Madrid

  • Atleti has not much to worry about when visiting Girona. Pablo Barrios is the sole injury doubt and will likely be missing due to a concussion. Simeone will likely stick with his favourite 4-4-2 formation with this group of players:

  • Oblak, Marcos Llorente, Le Normand, Lenglet, Javi Galan; Simeone, De Paul, Koke, Samuel Lino; Sorloth, Julian Alvarez.

Recent Form

Girona – Results of last five games

Opponent Result Score
Real Sociedad Loss 2-3
Real Sociedad Win 1-0
Villarreal Loss 0-1
Mallorca Win 1-0
Leganes Draw 1-1

Atletico Madrid – Results of last five games

Opponent Result Score
Real Betis Win 4-1
Osasuna Loss 0-2
Real Sociedad Win 4-0
Alaves Draw 0-0
Rayo Vallecano Win 3-0

Head-to-Head Record

Atleti has dominated their encounters with Girona in recent years, recording four victories in their last five encounters. Girona won in a 4-3 thriller in January 2024. In all, these two teams have played 8 times in La Liga, with Atletico having won 6 and Girona 2. Their last encounter was a 3-1 win for Atleti in March 2020. This is the first time that Mallorca are playing Atletico Madrid since they were promoted to La Liga this season. But they did face off against each other in the Copa del Rey in December, with Atleti securing a comfortable 3-0 victory.

Date Winner Score
Aug 2024 Atleti 3-0
Apr 2024 Atleti 3-1
Jan 2024 Girona 4-3
Mar 2023 Atleti 1-0
Oct 2022 Atleti 2-1

Key Players to Watch

Girona

  • Cristhian Stuani is still their target man and may be the difference-maker with his aerial ability and poaching nature.

  • Viktor Tsygankov, with all his imagination, will be needed to bridge midfield and attack effectively in the face of Atletico's solid defense.

Atletico Madrid

  • Julian Alvarez has been in spectacular touch, netting 17 goals with three assists throughout the season.

  • Alexander Sorloth has a similarly stunning record to show, with 17 goals and two assists. Together, they form one of the deadliest duos in the league.

Betting Odds and Win Probability

According to Stake.com data, the odds between Atletico Madrid and Girona FC reflect the chances of the away team achieving a win. Currently, Atletico Madrid is valued at 1.88, representing a high possibility of success according to their current superior performance. Girona FC, however, has greater odds of 3.95, representing how they are the underdogs, and the draw has an odds value of 3.95.

betting odds from stake.com for the teams of girona and atletico

Translating card odds into winning chances, Atletico Madrid has approximately a 51% chance of winning. Girona FC has a 25% chance of winning against Atletico Madrid and pulling off a surprise win, while there is a possibility of the match resulting in a draw of approximately 24%. This translates the expectation of Atletico Madrid to overpower card odds in accordance with their improved team card quality and consistency of results over the season.

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Closing Thoughts

This final game of the campaign is vital for both sides. While Girona will attempt to give a courageous show in front of their fans, Atletico Madrid's quality and depth are bound to get the better of them. Heroic Girona fightback or ruthless cold clinical Atletico's game plan? Watch to find out!
For those who would like to dive deeper into football details or betting tips, check out our latest previews and expert predictions.

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