Bayanin Fara
Daren Laraba a Wrigley Field yana kawo mana gasar National League mai ban sha'awa yayin da Chicago Cubs ke karɓar bakuncin Atlanta Braves a ranar 3 ga Satumba, 2025. Kada ku rasa bugun farko a 11:40 na dare (UTC)! Masu sha'awar suna jin daɗin ganin yadda waɗannan kungiyoyin biyu, kowannensu yana bin hanyoyi daban-daban a wannan kakar, za su yi wasa lokacin da fitilu suka kunna.
Cubs, waɗanda ke zaune a fili a cikin yanayin wasan kwaikwayo na NL, sun kasance masu rinjaye a gida, yayin da Braves ke neman lalata bikin duk da gwagwarmayar rashin daidaituwa. Masu kudi sun buɗe da Chicago. Wannan wasan yana nuna duel mai ban sha'awa tsakanin Cade Horton (Cubs, 9-4, 2.94 ERA) da Bryce Elder (Braves, 5-9, 5.88 ERA). Tare da harin Cubs yana ci gaba da kuma Braves suna fafitikar da raunuka, masu cin kasuwa da masu sha'awar duk suna cikin gasa mai ban sha'awa.
Binciken Masu Jefa Kwallo Masu Fara
Cade Horton – Chicago Cubs (9-4, 2.94 ERA)
Sabon hannun dama na Cubs ya kasance abin mamaki a wannan kakar. Tare da ERA ƙasa da 3.00, Horton yana cikin manyan masu farawa 15 a MLB. Babban ƙarfinsa yana cikin iyakance layin dogo da kula da nutsuwa a kan zuciyar jerin abubuwa:
Abokan hamayya suna buga kawai .293 a karo na farko ta cikin tsari.
Yana da 15% layin drive rate idan aka kwatanta da wadanda ba masu gudu ba, wanda ke tsakanin mafi ƙasƙanci a MLB.
Yana amfani da kyawun fashewar juzu'i don ci gaba da masu doke su cikin tunani.
Horton yana jin daɗin wasanni masu mahimmanci a Wrigley Field, inda ERA ɗinsa ya fi kyau fiye da yadda yake a waje. Idan ya ci gaba da ingantaccen umurninsa, Cubs ya kamata su sarrafa yanayin tun farko.
Bryce Elder – Atlanta Braves (5-9, 5.88 ERA)
Kakar Elder ta kasance tafiya mai hawa da sauka. ERA ɗinsa yana sama da 5.80, amma sauran wasanninsa biyu na ƙarshe sun nuna alamun ingantawa:
Abokan hamayya suna doke kawai .130 a cikin wasanninsa biyu na ƙarshe.
Yana samun 57% na doke ƙasa lokacin da yake wurin a yankin ƙasa.
Babban dogaro akan kula da juzu'i a ƙasa, musamman a kan masu doke dama.
Duk da haka, rashin daidaituwar sa da kuma kasawa wajen hana ci gaba da bugawa (musamman a karshen wasanni) yana sanya shi a matsayin mai haɗari a kan layin bugawa mai ƙarfi na Chicago.
Yanayin Kungiya da Trends na Betting
Chicago Cubs
62-77 ATS a wannan kakar.
80-59 a kan wasa
4.9 gudu a kowane wasa—na 6 a MLB.
Rikodin gida mai ƙarfi: 31 nasara a cikin 46 na ƙarshe a Wrigley.
Masu jefa kwallo na Cubs suna matsayi na 11 a ERA (3.86).
Key Betting Trends:
39-5 lokacin tattara 10+ hits.
33-8 lokacin da suka ci gaba a farkon rabin farko.
Sun rufe F5 a wasanni 39 daga cikin 66 na ƙarshe a gida.
Ikon Cubs na cin gaba da wuri da kuma ba masu jefa kwallon su damar cin nasara ya kasance mai mahimmanci.
Atlanta Braves
62-77 ATS (kamar yadda Cubs suke).
63-68 a kan Overs, 68-63 a kan Under.
Harin yana matsayi na tsakiya tare da 4.4 gudu a kowane wasa.
ERA na 4.39 yana sanya su na 22 a MLB.
Key Betting Trends:
15-3 ATS a wasanninsu na waje 18 na ƙarshe.
7-25 a matsayin ƴan tsiraru a wasan
Akwai kawai 5-35 lokacin da suka ba da izinin bugawa 2+.
Braves suna da kokari amma ba su daidaituwa, musamman lokacin da suke baya a karshen wasanni.
Player Prop Bets da za a Kalla
Braves Prop Bets
Ozzie Albies: HR Over ya sami mafi yawa a wasanni 3 daga cikin 8 na ƙarshe.
Ronald Acuña Jr.: Singles Under a 18 daga cikin 25 wasanni na waje na ƙarshe.
Michael Harris II: Hits + Runs + RBIs Over a 18 daga cikin 25 wasanni na waje na ƙarshe.
Cubs Prop Bets
Seiya Suzuki: Hits under a 14 daga cikin 20 wasanni na ƙarshe a gida.
Pete Crow-Armstrong: RBIs Under a 20 daga cikin 25 na ƙarshe.
Dansby Swanson: HR Over a 2 daga cikin 6 wasanni na ƙarshe.
Waɗannan props suna nuna yadda layin bugawa ke da juzu'i. Albies da Harris sune mafi kyawun ƙimar prop na Braves, yayin da Swanson ke ba da ƙarfin ci gaba mai ban mamaki ga Chicago.
Cubs Manyan 'Yan Wasa da za a Kalla
Kyle Tucker: Yana buga . 270 tare da 21 HRs da 70 RBIs.
Pete Crow-Armstrong: 28 HRs, 83 RBIs—bugawa mai faduwa.
Nico Hoerner: Jagoran yawan bugawa na kungiyar a .290.
Seiya Suzuki: 89 RBIs tare da 27 HRs.
Gwajin zurfin Cubs ya ɗauke su a duk faɗin kakar. Ko da ɗaya daga cikin masu bugawa ya yi jinkiri, wasu suna taka rawa.
Braves Manyan 'Yan Wasa da za a Kalla
Matt Olson: Matsakaicin .269, 21 HRs, 77 RBIs.
Ozzie Albies: 13 HRs, 49 walks, tsakiyar rami mai kyau.
Marcell Ozuna: 20 HRs amma yana buga kawai .227.
Michael Harris II: 17 HRs, sauri mai tasiri, da kuma ƙarfi.
Braves suna buƙatar Olson da Albies su motsa hare-haren a kan Horton, ko kuma za su fuskanci haɗarin faɗawa tun farko.
Raunuka
Cubs
Miguel Amaya: 10-Day IL (iska)
Ryan Brasier: 15-Day IL (inguinal)
Mike Soroka: 15-Day IL (bahu)
Jameson Taillon: 15-Day IL (inguinal)
Justin Steele: 60-Day IL (safa)
Eli Morgan: 60-Day IL (safa)
Braves
Austin Riley: 10-Day IL (ciki)
Aaron Bummer: 15-Day IL (bahu)
Grant Holmes: 60-Day IL (safa)
Joe Jimenez: 60-Day IL (gwiwa)
AJ Smith-Shawver: 60-Day IL (ƙafa/safa)
Reynaldo López: 60-Day IL (bahu)
Spencer Schwellenbach: 60-Day IL (safa)
Kungiyoyi biyu suna fafitikar da raunuka, amma jerin masu jefa kwallo da Atlanta ke rasa ya kasance mai lalacewa.
Makin Wasan
Braves Dole Ne Su:
Rike Horton a ƙarƙashin matsin lamba tun farko.
Hana yanayi masu yawa na ci gaba ta hanyar iyakance masu bugawa na Cubs.
Dogaro da zurfin jefa kwallo a karshen wasan idan Elder ya sha wahala.
Cubs Dole Ne Su:
Yi amfani da yanayin buga kwallo na Elder.
Ci gaba da cin gaba da wuri don bari Horton ya daidaita.
Kula da haƙuri a wurin bugawa da kuma amfani da masu jefa kwallo masu lalacewa na Atlanta.
Cubs vs. Braves Nazarin Kwararru
Wannan wasan an shirya shi ne a matsayin bambanci a cikin kwanciyar hankali. Cubs suna da mafi kyawun mai jefa kwallo na farko, mafi kyawun rikodin gida, da kuma masu bugawa masu dacewa, yayin da dogaro da Braves ga masu bugawa masu juzu'i yana sanya su zama marasa tabbas.
Idan Cade Horton ya ba da innings shida masu ƙarfi, masu jefa kwallo na Cubs za su iya rufe shi. Elder, a halin yanzu, dole ne ya kula da kwallon ƙasa don guje wa ba da izinin dogon bugawa, amma layin bugawa na Chicago ya kasance mai girma wajen azabtar da kurakurai.
Rabin/ƙasa na 8 gudu yana da ban sha'awa. Dukkan kungiyoyi suna da yanayi da ke nuni ga Under, amma la'akari da volatility na Elder da kuma damar da Cubs ke da shi, Over 8 yana da daraja a yi la'akari.
Binciken Karshe – Cubs vs Braves, Satumba 3rd, 2025
Binciken Score: Cubs 5, Braves 3
Binciken Jimlar: Sama da 8 gudu
Damar Nasara: Cubs 57%, Braves 43%
Mafi yawa, Chicago za ta dogara da karfin Horton a gida, yayin da Pete Crow-Armstrong da Seiya Suzuki za su karfafa nasara. Wannan wuri ne mai wahala ga Atlanta, kamar yadda suke masu cin nasara a waje.
Mafi kyawun Bets a Yau
Cubs: Tsayayyen zabi tare da Horton a gida.
Sama da 8 Gudu: ERA na Elder yana nuna cewa Chicago za ta ci gaba da yawa.
Player Prop: Michael Harris II Over Hits/Runs/RBIs – ci gaba da samarwa a waje.
Shawara ta Parlay: Cubs + Sama da 8 Gudu (+200 kewayon damar).
Kammalawa
Gasar Cubs da Braves a ranar 3 ga Satumba, 2025, a Wrigley Field tana da dukkan abubuwan da ake buƙata don babban wasan baseball, kuma Cubs ya kamata su yi nasara tare da Cade Horton da wannan rikodin gida mai ban mamaki, amma ɗauki masu cin nasara da ba a yi tsammani ba, Braves, da waɗannan masu doke.
Ga masu cin kasuwa, mafi kyawun ƙimar yana tare da Cubs da kuma binciken props akan masu bugawa kamar Michael Harris II da Dansby Swanson.
Zaɓin Ƙarshe: Cubs 5 – Braves 3 (Cubs ML, sama da 8)
